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2. Bundesliga

Fortuna Dusseldorf

T S T U T

1–0

Full-time

Heidenheim

S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Heidenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

20%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

80%

40%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

11 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 2

4 Corners 5

12 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 16. · Heidenheim 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Holstein Kiel	5	3	1	1	+2	10
3	Hannover	5	3	0	2	+6	9
4	Regensburg	5	2	3	0	+4	9
5	Bochum	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Osnabruck	5	1	4	0	+1	7
7	Erzgebirge Aue	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	Sandhausen	5	2	1	2	-2	7
9	St Pauli	5	1	3	1	+1	6
10	Greuther Furth	5	1	3	1	+1	6
11	Darmstadt	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Nurnberg	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Heidenheim	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Paderborn	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Karlsruhe	5	1	1	3	-1	4
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Braunschweig	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Wurzburger Kickers	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Hamburg	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Regensburg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Sandhausen	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Holstein Kiel	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Bochum	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Heidenheim	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	St Pauli	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Osnabruck	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Erzgebirge Aue	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Braunschweig	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Nurnberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Karlsruhe	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	Paderborn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Darmstadt	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Greuther Furth	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Wurzburger Kickers	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Greuther Furth	3	1	2	0	+2	5
3	Holstein Kiel	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Darmstadt	3	1	1	1	+0	4
5	Osnabruck	3	0	3	0	+0	3
6	Bochum	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Erzgebirge Aue	3	1	0	2	-2	3
8	Nurnberg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Regensburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	St Pauli	3	0	2	1	-1	2
11	Paderborn	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Karlsruhe	3	0	1	2	-3	1
13	Hannover	2	0	0	2	-2	0
14	Heidenheim	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	Wurzburger Kickers	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Sandhausen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Braunschweig	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.