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2. Bundesliga

Stuttgart

S S T T T

3–1

Full-time

Dresden

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Dresden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 37%

55%

18%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

64%

55%

Both score Ø 60%

64%

55%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

16 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 4

6 Corners 1

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stuttgart 3. · Dresden 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	11	7	3	1	+18	24
2	Bielefeld	11	6	4	1	+10	22
3	Stuttgart	11	6	2	3	+1	20
4	Erzgebirge Aue	12	5	4	3	+1	19
5	Greuther Furth	12	5	3	4	-1	18
6	Heidenheim	12	4	5	3	+3	17
7	Regensburg	12	4	4	4	+4	16
8	Karlsruhe	12	3	6	3	-2	15
9	Nurnberg	11	3	5	3	+0	14
10	St Pauli	12	3	5	4	+0	14
11	Sandhausen	12	3	5	4	-1	14
12	Holstein Kiel	11	4	2	5	-2	14
13	Hannover	12	3	5	4	-4	14
14	Darmstadt	12	3	5	4	-4	14
15	Osnabruck	12	3	4	5	+1	13
16	Bochum	11	1	6	4	-4	9
17	Dresden	11	2	3	6	-9	9
18	Wehen	11	2	3	6	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	6	5	1	0	+14	16
2	Erzgebirge Aue	6	4	2	0	+6	14
3	Stuttgart	6	4	0	2	+3	12
4	Greuther Furth	6	4	0	2	+1	12
5	St Pauli	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Heidenheim	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Darmstadt	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Sandhausen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
9	Osnabruck	6	2	2	2	+4	8
10	Karlsruhe	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	Regensburg	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Holstein Kiel	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Dresden	6	2	1	3	-2	7
14	Nurnberg	6	1	4	1	-3	7
15	Bielefeld	5	1	3	1	+1	6
16	Bochum	5	0	5	0	+0	5
17	Hannover	6	0	4	2	-6	4
18	Wehen	6	1	1	4	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Hannover	6	3	1	2	+2	10
3	Hamburg	5	2	2	1	+4	8
4	Regensburg	6	2	2	2	+4	8
5	Stuttgart	5	2	2	1	-2	8
6	Nurnberg	5	2	1	2	+3	7
7	Heidenheim	6	1	4	1	+1	7
8	Karlsruhe	7	1	4	2	-3	7
9	Greuther Furth	6	1	3	2	-2	6
10	Holstein Kiel	5	2	0	3	-2	6
11	Wehen	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Sandhausen	6	1	2	3	-2	5
13	Osnabruck	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Erzgebirge Aue	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Darmstadt	7	1	2	4	-7	5
16	St Pauli	6	0	4	2	-2	4
17	Bochum	6	1	1	4	-4	4
18	Dresden	5	0	2	3	-7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.