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Premier League
Referee: Michael Oliver
Watford
S T U T T
1–4
Full-time
Huddersfield
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Huddersfield
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,3
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-2,0
This season — Premier League · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 32%
35%
29%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
59%
47%
Both score Ø 39%
53%
24%
Average goals
3,2
2,4
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

59% Possession 41%
13 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 7
3 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Watford 9. · Huddersfield 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 17 16 1 0 +41 49
2 Man United 17 12 2 3 +26 38
3 Chelsea 17 11 2 4 +17 35
4 Tottenham 17 9 4 4 +16 31
5 Liverpool 17 8 7 2 +14 31
6 Burnley 17 9 4 4 +4 31
7 Arsenal 17 9 3 5 +10 30
8 Leicester 18 7 5 6 +1 26
9 Watford 17 6 4 7 -3 22
10 Everton 17 6 4 7 -8 22
11 Southampton 17 4 6 7 -6 18
12 Huddersfield 17 5 3 9 -17 18
13 Brighton 17 4 5 8 -9 17
14 Crystal Palace 18 4 5 9 -13 17
15 Bournemouth 17 4 4 9 -5 16
16 Stoke 17 4 4 9 -17 16
17 Newcastle 17 4 3 10 -10 15
18 West Brom 17 2 8 7 -10 14
19 West Ham 17 3 5 9 -18 14
20 Swansea 17 3 3 11 -13 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Watford Huddersfield
6′
E. Kachunga 0–1
L. Depoitre
19′
🔁 T. Ince
↦ E. Kachunga
23′
A. Mooy 0–2
C. Quaner
R. Pereyra 🔁
↦ A. Mariappa
29′
Troy Deeney 🟥
33′
37′
🟨 Jonathan Hogg
Abdoulaye Doucouré 🟨
41′
45′
🔁 S. Malone
↦ C. Löwe
Half-time 0–3
50′
L. Depoitre 0–3
61′
🟨 Jonathan Hogg
61′
🟥 Jonathan Hogg
A. Gray 🔁
↦ E. Capoue
64′
64′
🔁 D. Williams
↦ R. van La Parra
1–3 A. Doucouré
68′
69′
🟨 Laurent Depoitre
S. Okaka 🔁
↦ J. Holebas
82′
Daryl Janmaat 🟨
89′
89′
A. Mooy 1–4
90′
🟨 Aaron Mooy
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Watford

3-4-2-1
1 Gomes G
6 A. Mariappa D
5 S. Prödl D
25 J. Holebas M
27 C. Kabasele D
2 D. Janmaat M
29 E. Capoue M
28 A. Carrillo F
16 A. Doucouré M
9 T. Deeney F
11 Richarlison F
Bench (7)
37 R. Pereyra
18 A. Gray
33 S. Okaka
13 M. Wagué
17 J. Sinclair
23 B. Watson
30 O. Karnezis

Coach: Marco Silva

Huddersfield

4-4-2
1 J. Lössl G
25 M. Jørgensen D
15 C. Löwe D
26 C. Schindler D
33 F. Hadergjonaj D
17 R. van La Parra M
6 J. Hogg M
10 A. Mooy M
20 L. Depoitre F
9 E. Kachunga F
23 C. Quaner M
Bench (7)
22 T. Ince
3 S. Malone
19 D. Williams
4 D. Whitehead
13 J. Coleman
14 M. Cranie
24 S. Mounié

Coach: D. Wagner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Michael Oliver · 163 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.