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Premier League
Referee: Roger East
Huddersfield
T T T T T
1–2
Full-time
Watford
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huddersfield Watford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
2,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-2,2
-0,8
This season — Premier League · 34/33 matches
Win Ø 24%
9%
39%
Points per game
0,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
44%
61%
Both score Ø 48%
38%
58%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
0,6
1,4
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huddersfield 20. · Watford 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 34 28 2 4 +65 86
2 Liverpool 34 26 7 1 +57 85
3 Tottenham 34 22 1 11 +29 67
4 Arsenal 33 20 6 7 +26 66
5 Chelsea 34 20 6 8 +21 66
6 Man United 33 19 7 7 +19 64
7 Leicester 34 14 5 15 +1 47
8 Wolves 33 13 8 12 -1 47
9 Everton 34 13 7 14 +2 46
10 Watford 33 13 7 13 -1 46
11 West Ham 34 12 6 16 -10 42
12 Bournemouth 34 12 5 17 -12 41
13 Crystal Palace 34 11 6 17 -6 39
14 Burnley 34 11 6 17 -18 39
15 Newcastle 34 10 8 16 -11 38
16 Southampton 33 9 9 15 -15 36
17 Brighton 33 9 6 18 -21 33
18 Cardiff 34 9 4 21 -33 31
19 Fulham 34 5 5 24 -44 20
20 Huddersfield 34 3 5 26 -48 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huddersfield Watford
5′
Deulofeu 0–1
17′
🟨 Étienne Capoue
Jonathan Hogg 🟨
19′
Juninho Bacuna 🟨
24′
M. Daly 🔁
↦ J. Hogg
41′
Half-time 0–1
K. Ahearne-Grant 🔁
↦ S. Mounié
65′
72′
🔁 I. Success
↦ A. Gray
80′
Deulofeu 0–2
C. Löwe 🔁
↦ I. Mbenza
81′
83′
🔁 N. Chalobah
↦ Deulofeu
90′
🟨 Abdoulaye Doucouré
92′
🔁 Marc Navarro
↦ W. Hughes
1–2 K. Ahearne-Grant
C. Löwe
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Huddersfield

4-4-1-1
1 J. Lössl G
26 C. Schindler D
5 T. Kongolo D
37 E. Durm D
2 T. Smith D
6 J. Hogg M
10 A. Mooy F
7 J. Bacuna M
9 E. Kachunga M
24 S. Mounié F
18 I. Mbenza M
Bench (7)
41 M. Daly
16 K. Ahearne-Grant
15 C. Löwe
21 A. Pritchard
33 F. Hadergjonaj
27 J. Stankovič
13 J. Coleman

Coach: J. Siewert

Watford

4-2-2-2
26 B. Foster G
6 A. Mariappa D
15 C. Cathcart D
21 Kiko Femenía D
11 A. Masina D
29 E. Capoue M
16 A. Doucouré M
19 W. Hughes M
12 K. Sema M
18 A. Gray F
7 Deulofeu F
Bench (7)
10 I. Success
14 N. Chalobah
23 Marc Navarro
1 Gomes
3 M. Britos
27 C. Kabasele
2 D. Janmaat

Coach: Javi Gracia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Roger East · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.