Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Huddersfield
Watford
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man City
|
34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | +65 | 86 |
| 2 |
Liverpool
|
34 | 26 | 7 | 1 | +57 | 85 |
| 3 |
Tottenham
|
34 | 22 | 1 | 11 | +29 | 67 |
| 4 |
Arsenal
|
33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | +26 | 66 |
| 5 |
Chelsea
|
34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | +21 | 66 |
| 6 |
Man United
|
33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | +19 | 64 |
| 7 |
Leicester
|
34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | +1 | 47 |
| 8 |
Wolves
|
33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | -1 | 47 |
| 9 |
Everton
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | +2 | 46 |
| 10 |
Watford
|
33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | -1 | 46 |
| 11 |
West Ham
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 42 |
| 12 |
Bournemouth
|
34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 41 |
| 13 |
Crystal Palace
|
34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | -6 | 39 |
| 14 |
Burnley
|
34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | -18 | 39 |
| 15 |
Newcastle
|
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -11 | 38 |
| 16 |
Southampton
|
33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -15 | 36 |
| 17 |
Brighton
|
33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | -21 | 33 |
| 18 |
Cardiff
|
34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | -33 | 31 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | -44 | 20 |
| 20 |
Huddersfield
|
34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | -48 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Bacuna
M
Coach: J. Siewert
Kiko Femenía
D
W. Hughes
M
Coach: Javi Gracia
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Tottenham
Huddersfield
Huddersfield
Leicester
Crystal Palace
Huddersfield
West Ham
Huddersfield
Huddersfield
Bournemouth
Roger East · 87 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.