Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Fulham
West Ham
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man City
|
21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | +26 | 47 |
| 2 |
Man United
|
22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | +19 | 44 |
| 3 |
Leicester
|
22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 42 |
| 4 |
Liverpool
|
22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | +18 | 40 |
| 5 |
West Ham
|
22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | +6 | 38 |
| 6 |
Chelsea
|
22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | +13 | 36 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | +6 | 36 |
| 8 |
Aston Villa
|
21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | +12 | 35 |
| 9 |
Tottenham
|
21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 33 |
| 10 |
Arsenal
|
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | +4 | 31 |
| 11 |
Leeds
|
21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | -2 | 29 |
| 12 |
Southampton
|
22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 |
Crystal Palace
|
22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | -10 | 29 |
| 14 |
Wolves
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -8 | 26 |
| 15 |
Brighton
|
23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | -5 | 25 |
| 16 |
Newcastle
|
23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | -13 | 25 |
| 17 |
Burnley
|
22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -15 | 23 |
| 18 |
Fulham
|
21 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 |
West Brom
|
22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | -34 | 12 |
| 20 |
Sheffield United
|
22 | 3 | 2 | 17 | -21 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Areola
G
K. Tete
D
J. Andersen
D
T. Adarabioyo
D
A. Robinson
D
M. Lemina
M
R. Loftus-Cheek
M
H. Reed
M
A. Lookman
M
Coach: S. Parker
V. Coufal
D
M. Antonio
F
D. Rice
M
J. Bowen
M
Coach: D. Moyes
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Fulham
Leicester
West Brom
Fulham
Brighton
Fulham
Fulham
Man United
Fulham
Chelsea
M Dean · 52 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.