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Premier League
Referee: J Moss
Burnley
S T T U S
1–1
Full-time
Fulham
U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burnley Fulham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Premier League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 22%
30%
13%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
30%
35%
Both score Ø 35%
26%
43%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
6 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burnley 16. · Fulham 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 23 16 5 2 +32 53
2 Man United 24 13 7 4 +19 46
3 Leicester 24 14 4 6 +16 46
4 Chelsea 24 12 6 6 +16 42
5 West Ham 24 12 6 6 +9 42
6 Liverpool 24 11 7 6 +13 40
7 Everton 22 11 4 7 +4 37
8 Aston Villa 22 11 3 8 +12 36
9 Tottenham 23 10 6 7 +11 36
10 Arsenal 24 10 4 10 +6 34
11 Leeds 23 10 2 11 -2 32
12 Wolves 24 8 6 10 -7 30
13 Southampton 23 8 5 10 -9 29
14 Crystal Palace 24 8 5 11 -15 29
15 Brighton 24 5 11 8 -5 26
16 Burnley 23 7 5 11 -12 26
17 Newcastle 24 7 4 13 -15 25
18 Fulham 23 3 9 11 -12 18
19 West Brom 24 2 7 15 -36 13
20 Sheffield United 24 3 2 19 -25 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burnley Fulham
16′
🟨 Ruben Loftus-Cheek
R. Brady 🔁
↦ J. Guðmunds­son
39′
Half-time 0–0
Robbie Brady 🟨
46′
49′
ℹ️ Ola Aina
VAR: Goal cancelled
49′
O. Aina 0–1
J. Andersen
1–1 A. Barnes
J. Rodriguez
52′
61′
🔁 A. Zambo Anguissa
↦ M. Lemina
J. Brownhill 🔁
↦ R. Brady
64′
67′
🔁 Ivan Cavaleiro
↦ B. De Cordova-Reid
78′
🔁 A. Robinson
↦ K. Tete
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Burnley

4-4-2
1 N. Pope G
28 K. Long D
2 M. Lowton D
5 J. Tarkowski D
3 C. Taylor D
4 J. Cork M
7 J. Guðmunds­son M
18 A. Westwood M
19 J. Rodriguez F
10 A. Barnes F
11 D. McNeil M
Bench (9)
12 R. Brady
8 J. Brownhill
41 J. Benson
15 B. Peacock-Farrell
34 J. Dunne
45 A. Driscoll-Glennon
25 W. Norris
46 J. Mumbongo
26 P. Bardsley

Coach: S. Dyche

Fulham

4-4-1-1
1 A. Areola G
2 K. Tete D
5 J. Andersen D
34 O. Aina D
16 T. Adarabioyo D
18 M. Lemina M
14 B. De Cordova-Reid F
15 R. Loftus-Cheek M
21 H. Reed M
19 A. Lookman M
27 J. Maja F
Bench (9)
29 A. Zambo Anguissa
17 Ivan Cavaleiro
33 A. Robinson
30 T. Kongolo
12 M. Rodák
3 M. Hector
13 T. Ream
25 J. Onomah
4 D. Odoi

Coach: S. Parker

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
U ✓
3,15
B
2,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Moss · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.