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Eliteserien

Referee: Marius Lien

Sarpsborg 08

S U U S S

1–1

Full-time

Valerenga

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,96 xG 1,34

59% Possession 41%

11 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

9 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 6. · Valerenga 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	+4	+3.2	6
2	Rosenborg	2	2	0	+2	+3.8	6
3	Fredrikstad	2	1	1	+2	-2.8	3
4	Valerenga	1	1	0	+2	-0.4	3
5	KFUM Oslo	1	1	0	+2	+0.8	3
6	Sarpsborg 08	1	1	0	+2	+0.8	3
7	Brann	2	1	1	-1	+1.3	3
8	Tromso	2	1	1	-1	+2.0	3
9	Ham-Kam	2	1	1	-2	-1.1	3
10	Stromsgodset	1	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
11	Kristiansund	1	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
12	Haugesund	1	0	1	-1	-2.6	0
13	Bryne	1	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
14	Viking	1	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
15	Sandefjord	1	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
16	Molde	1	0	1	-2	-0.8	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	+3	+2.3	3
2	Fredrikstad	1	1	0	+3	-0.8	3
3	Valerenga	1	1	0	+2	-0.4	3
4	Brann	1	1	0	+2	+0.5	3
5	KFUM Oslo	1	1	0	+2	+0.8	3
6	Ham-Kam	1	1	0	+1	+1.2	3
7	Rosenborg	1	1	0	+1	+2.0	3
8	Tromso	1	1	0	+1	+2.6	3
9	Stromsgodset	1	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
10	Bryne	1	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
11	Molde	1	0	1	-2	-0.8	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sarpsborg 08	1	1	0	+2	+0.8	3
2	Rosenborg	1	1	0	+1	+1.8	3
3	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	3
4	Kristiansund	1	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
5	Fredrikstad	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	0
6	Haugesund	1	0	1	-1	-2.6	0
7	Viking	1	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
8	Tromso	1	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
9	Sandefjord	1	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
10	Ham-Kam	1	0	1	-3	-2.3	0
11	Brann	1	0	1	-3	+0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.