Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ham-Kam
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Aalesund
|
13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 32 |
| 2 |
Sandefjord
|
13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 30 |
| 3 |
Raufoss
|
13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +0 | 25 |
| 4 |
Kongsvinger
|
13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |
KFUM Oslo
|
13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |
Start
|
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 22 |
| 7 |
Ull/Kisa
|
13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +12 | 20 |
| 8 |
Nest-Sotra
|
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 18 |
| 9 |
Sogndal
|
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +1 | 17 |
| 10 |
Sandnes ULF
|
13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 11 |
Jerv
|
13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 15 |
| 12 |
Ham-Kam
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |
Skeid
|
13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 |
Notodden
|
13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 |
Strommen
|
13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -11 | 8 |
| 16 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -28 | 2 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
E. Wichne
E. Segberg
T. Christensen
A. Aremu
Coach: J. Hardarson
S. Nordli
Coach: G. Helstrup
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Tromsdalen Uil
Start
Start
Notodden
Kongsvinger
Start
Start
Skeid
Start
Jerv
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.