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LaLiga2
Referee: Alvaro Moreno Aragon
Valladolid
S U U S T
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Cultural Leonesa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%
18 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 2
14 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valladolid 7. · Cultural Leonesa 21.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 La Coruna 7 4 3 0 +11 15
2 Cadiz 7 4 3 0 +4 15
3 Andorra 7 4 2 1 +4 14
4 Santander 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Burgos 7 3 3 1 +5 +3.1 12
6 Eibar 7 3 2 2 +4 11
7 Valladolid 6 3 2 1 +4 +2.3 11
8 Las Palmas 7 3 2 2 +2 11
9 Almeria 7 3 2 2 +0 11
10 Huesca 6 3 1 2 -2 10
11 Sp Gijon 6 3 0 3 +0 9
12 Malaga 7 2 2 3 -1 8
13 Ceuta 7 2 2 3 -5 -2.3 8
14 Leganes 6 1 4 1 +1 7
15 Mirandes 7 2 1 4 -3 7
16 Sociedad B 7 1 3 3 -2 6
17 Zaragoza 7 1 3 3 -3 6
18 Cordoba 7 1 3 3 -4 6
19 Castellon 6 1 2 3 -2 5
20 Albacete 6 1 2 3 -3 5
21 Cultural Leonesa 6 1 1 4 -6 -3.1 4
22 Granada 6 0 2 4 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Cultural Leonesa
6′
D. Collado 0–1
R. Sobrino
19′
🟨 Roger Hinojo
Juanmi Latasa 🟨
33′
Iván Alejo 🟨
38′
Peter Federico 🔁
↦ A. Ndiaye
41′
Pablo Tomeo 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
I. Garriel 🔁
↦ G. Bueno
58′
S. Canos 🔁
↦ J. Ponceau
59′
64′
🟨 Diego Collado
I. Alani 🔁
↦ M. Lachuer
72′
J. Delgado 🔁
↦ S. Biuk
72′
73′
🔁 J. Larios
↦ D. Collado
73′
🔁 Y. Gonzalez
↦ Bicho
74′
🔁 M. Barzic
↦ V. Garcia
75′
🟨 Tomás Ribeiro
80′
🔁 M. Diallo Selu
↦ Pibe
Trilli 🔁
↦ I. Alejo
83′
84′
🔁 P. Cortes
↦ R. Hinojo
88′
🔁 M. Justo
↦ R. Sobrino
Full-time 0–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,44
U
4,21
B ✓
6,28
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alvaro Moreno Aragon · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.