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Super League
Referee: Stavros Tsimenteridis
3–3
Full-time
PAOK
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,7
1,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,5
0,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,3
This season — Super League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
0%
75%
Points per game
0,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,5
1,3
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
4 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 12
7 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 15. · PAOK 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 5 4 1 0 +10 13
2 AEK 5 4 1 0 +5 13
3 PAOK 4 3 1 0 +3 10
4 Aris Thessalonikis 5 3 1 1 +2 10
5 Aris 5 3 1 1 +2 10
6 Levadeiakos 5 2 1 2 +3 7
7 Panetolikos 5 2 1 2 +1 7
8 Kifisia 6 2 1 3 +0 7
9 Volos NFC 6 2 0 4 -5 6
10 Atromitos 5 1 1 3 -1 4
11 Larisa 4 0 3 1 -1 3
12 OFI Crete 4 1 0 3 -6 3
13 Panserraikos 6 0 3 3 -8 3
14 Panathinaikos 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Asteras Tripolis 4 0 1 3 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,66
U ✓
3,78
B
1,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,81
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.