La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Valladolid
Getafe
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–3
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | +54 | +38.9 | 67 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | +32 | +26.8 | 63 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | +25 | +20.0 | 60 |
| 4 |
Ath Bilbao
|
29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | +22 | +17.9 | 53 |
| 5 |
Betis
|
30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +4 | +9.2 | 48 |
| 6 |
Villarreal
|
28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +12 | +18.3 | 47 |
| 7 |
Celta
|
30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | +1 | +10.2 | 43 |
| 8 |
Sociedad
|
30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -2 | +0.1 | 41 |
| 9 |
Vallecano
|
30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | -2 | -1.6 | 40 |
| 10 |
Mallorca
|
30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -8 | +1.2 | 40 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | +1 | -7.6 | 36 |
| 12 |
Sevilla
|
30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -7 | -8.8 | 36 |
| 13 |
Girona
|
30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -9 | -3.5 | 34 |
| 14 |
Osasuna
|
29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | -9 | -9.7 | 34 |
| 15 |
Valencia
|
30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -13 | -10.6 | 34 |
| 16 |
Espanol
|
29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -9 | -20.8 | 32 |
| 17 |
Alaves
|
30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | -11 | -2.7 | 30 |
| 18 |
Leganes
|
29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -18 | -23.6 | 27 |
| 19 |
Las Palmas
|
30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -17 | -27.5 | 26 |
| 20 |
Valladolid
|
29 | 4 | 4 | 21 | -46 | -26.1 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
André Ferreira
G
A. Candela
D
E. Cömert
D
C. Özkacar
D
A. Aznou
D
T. Nikitscher
M
Mario Martín
M
Raúl Moro
M
Juanmi Latasa
F
Coach: Álvaro Rubio
David Soria
G
Juan Iglesias
D
O. Alderete
D
Diego Rico
D
Luis Milla
M
Ramon Terrats
M
Juan Bernat
M
Coach: José Bordalás
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sociedad
Valladolid
Valladolid
Celta
Valencia
Valladolid
Valladolid
Las Palmas
Ath Bilbao
Valladolid
Alejandro Quintero · 71 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.