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LaLiga2
Referee: Andrés Fuentes
Burgos
S S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Huesca
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Huesca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 42%
39%
45%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
27%
48%
Both score Ø 44%
33%
55%
Average goals
1,9
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
8 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Burgos 11. · Huesca 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 34 17 11 6 +20 62
2 Elche 33 17 9 7 +19 60
3 Santander 34 17 8 9 +13 59
4 Mirandes 34 17 7 10 +15 58
5 Oviedo 34 15 10 9 +6 55
6 Huesca 33 15 9 9 +15 54
7 Almeria 34 14 11 9 +10 53
8 Granada 34 14 10 10 +10 52
9 Albacete 34 12 11 11 +2 47
10 Eibar 34 12 10 12 -1 46
11 Burgos 33 13 7 13 -5 46
12 La Coruna 33 11 12 10 +5 45
13 Cadiz 33 11 12 10 +2 45
14 Cordoba 33 12 9 12 -2 45
15 Castellon 34 11 9 14 -2 42
16 Malaga 33 9 15 9 -2 42
17 Sp Gijon 34 9 14 11 -1 41
18 Zaragoza 34 10 10 14 -3 40
19 Eldense 34 10 9 15 -12 39
20 Tenerife 34 8 7 19 -16 31
21 Ferrol 33 4 11 18 -34 23
22 Cartagena 34 4 5 25 -39 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Huesca
1–0 Fer Niño
39′
Half-time 1–0
Iván Morante 🔁
↦ Marcelo Expósito
54′
62′
🟨 Miguel Loureiro
64′
🔁 Sergi Enrich
↦ P. Soko
64′
🔁 Iker Unzueta
↦ Javi Pérez
2–0 Fer Niño
Álex Sancris
70′
Dani Ojeda 🔁
↦ Borja Sánchez
71′
Edu Espiau 🔁
↦ Curro Sánchez
71′
72′
🔁 Moi Delgado
↦ Ignasi Vilarrasa
72′
🔁 Hugo Vallejo
↦ Jordi Martín
77′
🔁 W. Chatiliez
↦ Joaquín Muñoz
Pipa 🔁
↦ A. Arroyo
81′
David González 🔁
↦ Fer Niño
81′
89′
Sergi Enrich 2–1
W. Chatiliez
96′
ℹ️ Oscar Sielva
VAR: Card upgrade
97′
🟥 Oscar Sielva
Álex Sancris 🟨
98′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 Ander Cantero G
4 A. Arroyo D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
8 Grego Sierra D
3 F. Miguel D
5 Miguel Atienza M
33 Marcelo Expósito M
10 Borja Sánchez M
16 Curro Sánchez M
11 Álex Sancris M
9 Fer Niño F
Bench (12)
23 Iván Morante
7 Dani Ojeda
19 Edu Espiau
20 Pipa
14 David González
28 Mario Cantero
17 F. Mimbacas
15 G. Barès
1 Tomeu Nadal
2 G. Konan
21 Iñigo Córdoba
6 Raúl Navarro

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

Huesca

3-4-2-1
13 Dani Jiménez G
5 Miguel Loureiro D
14 Jorge Pulido D
4 Rubén Pulido D
3 Jordi Martín M
8 Javi Pérez M
23 Óscar Sielva M
20 Ignasi Vilarrasa M
19 P. Soko F
11 Joaquín Muñoz F
22 Iker Kortajarena F
Bench (10)
9 Sergi Enrich
21 Iker Unzueta
16 Moi Delgado
10 Hugo Vallejo
37 W. Chatiliez
1 Juan Pérez
29 Jaime Escario
15 J. Blasco
18 Diego González
2 Toni Abad

Coach: Antonio Hidalgo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,21
U
2,75
B
3,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
3,27
U2,5
1,31
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andrés Fuentes · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.