Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sp Lisbon
Guimaraes
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sp Lisbon
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 | +34 | 61 |
| 2 |
Porto
|
24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | +28 | 54 |
| 3 |
Sp Braga
|
23 | 16 | 2 | 5 | +21 | 50 |
| 4 |
Benfica
|
23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | +23 | 48 |
| 5 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | +10 | 44 |
| 6 |
Guimaraes
|
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | +0 | 35 |
| 7 |
Santa Clara
|
24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | +1 | 32 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
|
24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 |
Rio Ave
|
23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 |
Belenenses
|
23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | -7 | 25 |
| 11 |
Gil Vicente
|
24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 25 |
| 12 |
Tondela
|
24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -16 | 25 |
| 13 |
Portimonense
|
24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 |
Boavista
|
23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -12 | 21 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -12 | 21 |
| 16 |
Maritimo
|
23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | -12 | 21 |
| 17 |
Famalicao
|
23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -17 | 20 |
| 18 |
Farense
|
23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -10 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Pedro Porro
M
Nuno Mendes
M
Gonçalo Inácio
D
João Mário
M
João Palhinha
M
Daniel Bragança
F
Pedro Gonçalves
F
Tiago Tomás
F
Coach: Emanuel Ferro
Pepelu
M
Rochinha
F
M. Edwards
F
Coach: João Henriques
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Tondela
Sp Lisbon
Sp Lisbon
Santa Clara
Porto
Sp Lisbon
Sp Lisbon
Portimonense
Sp Lisbon
Pacos Ferreira
Tiago Martins · 155 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,47 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.