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Championship
Referee: D Whitestone
Reading
S S S U T
1–1
Full-time
QPR
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reading QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Championship · 37/36 matches
Win Ø 43%
49%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
51%
36%
Both score Ø 48%
46%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
17 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
9 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reading 6. · QPR 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 37 25 7 5 +29 82
2 Watford 37 21 9 7 +26 72
3 Brentford 35 18 10 7 +25 64
4 Barnsley 35 19 7 9 +12 64
5 Swansea 33 18 8 7 +13 62
6 Reading 37 18 7 12 +11 61
7 Bournemouth 36 16 11 9 +19 59
8 Middlesbrough 37 16 8 13 +8 56
9 Cardiff 37 15 10 12 +17 55
10 Millwall 37 11 16 10 +1 49
11 Stoke 37 12 13 12 -1 49
12 QPR 36 13 10 13 -4 49
13 Bristol City 37 15 4 18 -9 49
14 Luton 36 13 8 15 -11 47
15 Blackburn 37 12 9 16 +8 45
16 Preston 37 13 5 19 -9 44
17 Nott'm Forest 38 10 12 16 -8 42
18 Huddersfield 37 11 9 17 -11 42
19 Derby 37 10 10 17 -14 40
20 Coventry 36 9 11 16 -16 38
21 Birmingham 37 9 11 17 -19 38
22 Sheffield Weds 36 9 8 19 -20 35
23 Rotherham 33 9 5 19 -11 32
24 Wycombe 37 6 8 23 -36 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reading QPR
45′
L. Dykes 0–1
L. Wallace
Half-time 0–1
49′
🔁 G. Cameron
↦ J. de Wijs
52′
🟨 Ilias Chair
1–1 Y. Meïté
A. Rinomhota
57′
65′
🔁 D. Ball
↦ I. Chair
65′
🔁 C. Willock
↦ C. Austin
G. Puşcaş 🔁
↦ Lucas João
79′
Alfa Semedo 🔁
↦ M. Olise
79′
Tomás Esteves 🔁
↦ T. Holmes
83′
94′
🔁 T. Kane
↦ D. Ball
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Reading

4-2-3-1
33 Rafael G
6 L. Moore D
15 L. Gibson D
3 O. Richards D
29 T. Holmes D
28 J. Laurent M
14 O. Ejaria M
8 A. Rinomhota M
7 M. Olise M
18 Lucas João F
11 Y. Meïté M
Bench (9)
47 G. Puşcaş
30 Alfa Semedo
2 Tomás Esteves
46 J. Onen
9 S. Baldock
22 L. Southwood
50 Mamadi Camará
24 S. Aluko
34 D. Tetek

Coach: V. Paunovic

QPR

3-4-1-2
13 T. Dieng G
3 L. Wallace M
6 Y. Barbet D
5 J. de Wijs D
4 R. Dickie D
24 O. Kakay M
14 S. Johansen M
10 I. Chair F
15 S. Field M
45 C. Austin F
9 L. Dykes F
Bench (9)
20 G. Cameron
12 D. Ball
21 C. Willock
2 T. Kane
25 N. Hamalainen
7 M. Bonne
19 G. Thomas
37 A. Adomah
1 J. Lumley

Coach: M. Warburton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,13
U ✓
3,27
B
3,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,26
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Whitestone · 166 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.