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2. Bundesliga
Hamburg
U T T U S
2–0
Full-time
Heidenheim
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Heidenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 25/24 matches
Win Ø 49%
52%
46%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
64%
54%
Both score Ø 57%
64%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

18 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 7
8 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 2. · Heidenheim 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bochum 25 15 3 7 +19 48
2 Hamburg 25 13 7 5 +21 46
3 Greuther Furth 25 13 7 5 +18 46
4 Holstein Kiel 24 13 7 4 +16 46
5 Karlsruhe 26 12 6 8 +7 42
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 25 11 7 7 +4 40
7 Heidenheim 24 11 6 7 +5 39
8 Hannover 24 10 5 9 +8 35
9 Paderborn 26 9 8 9 +2 35
10 Erzgebirge Aue 25 9 6 10 -3 33
11 St Pauli 25 8 8 9 -5 32
12 Darmstadt 25 9 4 12 -2 31
13 Regensburg 24 7 8 9 -5 29
14 Nurnberg 25 7 7 11 -7 28
15 Braunschweig 25 6 7 12 -21 25
16 Osnabruck 24 6 5 13 -15 23
17 Sandhausen 25 6 4 15 -17 22
18 Wurzburger Kickers 24 4 3 17 -25 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,90
U
3,55
B
3,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,75
U2,5 ✓
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.