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Pro League
Referee: Lothar D'hondt
2–1
Full-time
Oostende
U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 24%
19%
29%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
48%
52%
Both score Ø 53%
43%
62%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

7 Corners 3
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 15. · Oostende 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 15 10 4 1 +21 34
2 Antwerp 15 11 1 3 +11 34
3 St Truiden 22 8 9 5 +7 33
4 Charleroi 22 10 3 9 +4 33
5 Standard 16 9 5 2 +15 32
6 Gent 14 9 2 3 +15 29
7 Kortrijk 22 7 7 8 -3 28
8 Eupen 22 9 1 12 -13 28
9 Club Brugge 15 8 3 4 +15 27
10 Anderlecht 15 8 3 4 +10 27
11 Cercle Brugge 22 7 5 10 -15 26
12 Oostende 21 6 5 10 -16 23
13 Beveren 22 4 9 9 -7 21
14 Waregem 22 5 5 12 -14 20
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 21 4 5 12 -11 17
16 Lokeren 22 3 5 14 -19 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Oostende
9′
Tom De Sutter 0–1
1–1 Manuel Benson
13′
23′
🟨 Laurens De Bock
Half-time 1–1
Frank Boya 🟨
54′
Noe Dussenne 🟨
60′
Taiwo Awoniyi 🔁
↦ Frank Boya
66′
2–1 Taiwo Awoniyi
68′
78′
🔁 Fashion Sakala
↦ William Dutoit
Selim Amallah 🟨
82′
82′
🔁 Sindrit Guri
↦ Tom De Sutter
87′
🔁 Jordi Vanlerberghe
↦ Francois Marquet
Manuel Benson 🟨
90′
Sidney Friede 🔁
↦ Selim Amallah
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-1-4-1
33 Jean Butez G
27 Mergim Vojvoda D
2 Noe Dussenne D
31 Bruno Godeau D
24 Nikola Gulan M
15 Frank Boya M
10 Selim Amallah M
22 Marko Bakić M
11 Dimitri Mohamed F
21 Manuel Benson M
18 Mbaye Leye F
Bench (7)
16 Clement Libertiaux
25 Christophe Diedhiou
13 Giorgos Galitsios
33 Sidney Friede
18 Taiwo Awoniyi
77 Mićo Kuzmanović
9 Yannis Mbombo

Coach: B. Storck

Oostende

5-4-1
28 William Dutoit G
25 Jelle Bataille M
5 Goran Milović D
4 Wout Faes D
6 Nicolas Lombaerts D
3 Laurens De Bock D
55 Fernando Canesin F
8 Francois Marquet M
26 Kevin Vandendriessche M
11 Indy Boonen F
9 Tom De Sutter F
Bench (8)
1 Fabrice Ondoa
14 Aristote Nkaka
33 Amin Nouri
17 Jordi Vanlerberghe
43 Sander Coopman
29 Robbie D'Haese
10 Sindrit Guri
7 Fashion Sakala

Coach: G. Verheyen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Lothar D'hondt · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.