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Eredivisie

Referee: E van de Graaf

Waalwijk

S S U T T

3–1

Full-time

Groningen

U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Groningen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 26/25 matches

Win Ø 34%

19%

48%

Points per game

0,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

38%

40%

Both score Ø 49%

50%

48%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

0,9

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

36% Possession 64%

17 Shots 19

10 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 7

3 Corners 5

3 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waalwijk 14. · Groningen 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	25	20	3	2	+59	63
2	PSV Eindhoven	26	16	7	3	+31	55
3	AZ Alkmaar	26	15	7	4	+23	52
4	Vitesse	26	16	3	7	+17	51
5	Feyenoord	25	13	7	5	+26	46
6	Groningen	25	12	6	7	+5	42
7	Utrecht	24	10	8	6	+7	38
8	Twente	27	9	10	8	+4	37
9	Heracles	26	10	5	11	-9	35
10	Heerenveen	27	8	10	9	-2	34
11	For Sittard	27	10	4	13	-8	34
12	Sparta Rotterdam	25	8	5	12	-5	29
13	Zwolle	26	5	11	10	-9	26
14	Waalwijk	26	5	8	13	-16	23
15	VVV Venlo	26	6	4	16	-32	22
16	Willem II	26	5	6	15	-25	21
17	FC Emmen	27	2	9	16	-32	15
18	Den Haag	26	2	9	15	-34	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	2	1	+20	32
2	Vitesse	13	10	2	1	+15	32
3	Ajax	12	10	1	1	+26	31
4	AZ Alkmaar	13	8	2	3	+11	26
5	Groningen	14	7	5	2	+7	26
6	Feyenoord	11	7	3	1	+20	24
7	Heerenveen	13	6	4	3	+8	22
8	Heracles	13	6	2	5	+5	20
9	Utrecht	13	5	5	3	+2	20
10	Zwolle	13	3	6	4	-1	15
11	Twente	13	3	5	5	-1	14
12	For Sittard	14	4	2	8	-7	14
13	Willem II	13	4	2	7	-10	14
14	Waalwijk	13	3	4	6	-4	13
15	Sparta Rotterdam	13	3	3	7	-3	12
16	VVV Venlo	13	3	3	7	-19	12
17	FC Emmen	13	1	4	8	-17	7
18	Den Haag	13	0	6	7	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	10	2	1	+33	32
2	AZ Alkmaar	13	7	5	1	+12	26
3	PSV Eindhoven	13	6	5	2	+11	23
4	Twente	14	6	5	3	+5	23
5	Feyenoord	14	6	4	4	+6	22
6	For Sittard	13	6	2	5	-1	20
7	Vitesse	13	6	1	6	+2	19
8	Utrecht	11	5	3	3	+5	18
9	Sparta Rotterdam	12	5	2	5	-2	17
10	Groningen	11	5	1	5	-2	16
11	Heracles	13	4	3	6	-14	15
12	Heerenveen	14	2	6	6	-10	12
13	Zwolle	13	2	5	6	-8	11
14	Waalwijk	13	2	4	7	-12	10
15	VVV Venlo	13	3	1	9	-13	10
16	Den Haag	13	2	3	8	-21	9
17	FC Emmen	14	1	5	8	-15	8
18	Willem II	13	1	4	8	-15	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.