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Primeira Liga

Referee: Rui Costa

Portimonense

S T U S T

1–2

Full-time

Porto

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 46%

26%

65%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

43%

57%

Both score Ø 46%

39%

52%

Average goals

2,1

3,1

Scored

0,9

2,1

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

32% Possession 68%

8 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 4

4 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Portimonense 13. · Porto 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	23	19	4	0	+34	61
2	Porto	23	15	6	2	+27	51
3	Sp Braga	23	16	2	5	+21	50
4	Benfica	23	14	6	3	+23	48
5	Pacos Ferreira	24	13	5	6	+10	44
6	Guimaraes	23	10	5	8	+0	35
7	Santa Clara	24	9	5	10	+1	32
8	Moreirense	24	7	9	8	-7	30
9	Rio Ave	23	6	8	9	-7	26
10	Belenenses	23	5	10	8	-7	25
11	Gil Vicente	24	7	4	13	-9	25
12	Tondela	24	7	4	13	-16	25
13	Portimonense	23	6	5	12	-7	23
14	Boavista	23	4	9	10	-12	21
15	Nacional	24	5	6	13	-12	21
16	Maritimo	23	6	3	14	-12	21
17	Famalicao	23	4	8	11	-17	20
18	Farense	23	4	7	12	-10	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	11	9	2	0	+16	29
2	Benfica	12	9	2	1	+14	29
3	Pacos Ferreira	12	9	2	1	+12	29
4	Sp Braga	11	9	1	1	+13	28
5	Porto	12	8	3	1	+14	27
6	Tondela	12	7	2	3	+3	23
7	Portimonense	11	5	3	3	+6	18
8	Moreirense	12	3	7	2	-1	16
9	Guimaraes	12	5	1	6	-5	16
10	Santa Clara	12	4	3	5	+1	15
11	Rio Ave	11	4	3	4	+1	15
12	Gil Vicente	12	4	2	6	-2	14
13	Belenenses	12	3	5	4	-3	14
14	Farense	12	3	4	5	+0	13
15	Nacional	12	3	3	6	-4	12
16	Boavista	11	3	2	6	-6	11
17	Famalicao	12	1	6	5	-10	9
18	Maritimo	11	2	2	7	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	12	10	2	0	+18	32
2	Porto	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	Sp Braga	12	7	1	4	+8	22
4	Benfica	11	5	4	2	+9	19
5	Guimaraes	11	5	4	2	+5	19
6	Santa Clara	12	5	2	5	+0	17
7	Pacos Ferreira	12	4	3	5	-2	15
8	Moreirense	12	4	2	6	-6	14
9	Maritimo	12	4	1	7	-3	13
10	Belenenses	11	2	5	4	-4	11
11	Gil Vicente	12	3	2	7	-7	11
12	Famalicao	11	3	2	6	-7	11
13	Rio Ave	12	2	5	5	-8	11
14	Boavista	12	1	7	4	-6	10
15	Nacional	12	2	3	7	-8	9
16	Farense	11	1	3	7	-10	6
17	Portimonense	12	1	2	9	-13	5
18	Tondela	12	0	2	10	-19	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.