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Bundesliga

Referee: D Schlager

Mainz

S T S U S

0–1

Full-time

Augsburg

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Augsburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 23%

18%

27%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

55%

45%

Both score Ø 57%

59%

55%

Average goals

3,0

2,6

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

10 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 17. · Augsburg 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	23	16	4	3	+35	52
2	RB Leipzig	23	15	5	3	+23	50
3	Wolfsburg	23	12	9	2	+18	45
4	Ein Frankfurt	23	11	9	3	+14	42
5	Dortmund	23	12	3	8	+17	39
6	Leverkusen	22	10	7	5	+16	37
7	Union Berlin	23	8	10	5	+10	34
8	M'gladbach	23	8	9	6	+4	33
9	Stuttgart	23	8	8	7	+8	32
10	Freiburg	22	8	7	7	+1	31
11	Hoffenheim	23	7	6	10	-3	27
12	Werder Bremen	22	6	8	8	-6	26
13	Augsburg	22	6	5	11	-13	23
14	FC Koln	23	5	6	12	-20	21
15	Hertha	23	4	6	13	-16	18
16	Bielefeld	22	5	3	14	-23	18
17	Mainz	22	4	5	13	-20	17
18	Schalke 04	23	1	6	16	-45	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	12	10	1	1	+15	31
2	Bayern Munich	11	8	3	0	+26	27
3	Wolfsburg	11	7	4	0	+11	25
4	Ein Frankfurt	11	6	5	0	+9	23
5	Dortmund	11	6	2	3	+11	20
6	Union Berlin	12	4	7	1	+9	19
7	Leverkusen	11	5	4	2	+8	19
8	Freiburg	12	5	4	3	+7	19
9	M'gladbach	12	5	4	3	+5	19
10	Hoffenheim	11	4	2	5	+4	14
11	Werder Bremen	11	3	4	4	-3	13
12	Stuttgart	11	2	6	3	+2	12
13	Augsburg	12	3	3	6	-8	12
14	Bielefeld	11	4	0	7	-9	12
15	Mainz	11	2	2	7	-9	8
16	Hertha	11	2	2	7	-12	8
17	FC Koln	11	1	3	7	-9	6
18	Schalke 04	12	1	2	9	-18	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	8	1	3	+9	25
2	Wolfsburg	12	5	5	2	+7	20
3	Stuttgart	12	6	2	4	+6	20
4	RB Leipzig	11	5	4	2	+8	19
5	Dortmund	12	6	1	5	+6	19
6	Ein Frankfurt	12	5	4	3	+5	19
7	Leverkusen	11	5	3	3	+8	18
8	Union Berlin	11	4	3	4	+1	15
9	FC Koln	12	4	3	5	-11	15
10	M'gladbach	11	3	5	3	-1	14
11	Werder Bremen	11	3	4	4	-3	13
12	Hoffenheim	12	3	4	5	-7	13
13	Freiburg	10	3	3	4	-6	12
14	Augsburg	10	3	2	5	-5	11
15	Hertha	12	2	4	6	-4	10
16	Mainz	11	2	3	6	-11	9
17	Bielefeld	11	1	3	7	-14	6
18	Schalke 04	11	0	4	7	-27	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.