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2. Bundesliga

Heidenheim

T T S S U

3–2

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 43%

41%

45%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

64%

Both score Ø 48%

45%

50%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

9 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 8

4 Corners 6

16 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heidenheim 8. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bochum	23	14	3	6	+20	45
2	Holstein Kiel	23	13	6	4	+16	45
3	Greuther Furth	23	12	7	4	+18	43
4	Hamburg	22	12	6	4	+20	42
5	Karlsruhe	23	12	3	8	+7	39
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	22	10	6	6	+3	36
7	Hannover	23	10	4	9	+8	34
8	Heidenheim	22	9	6	7	+3	33
9	Erzgebirge Aue	23	9	5	9	+0	32
10	Paderborn	23	8	7	8	+1	31
11	Regensburg	23	7	8	8	-4	29
12	St Pauli	22	7	7	8	-4	28
13	Nurnberg	22	7	5	10	-5	26
14	Darmstadt	23	7	4	12	-6	25
15	Osnabruck	22	6	4	12	-12	22
16	Braunschweig	22	5	5	12	-22	20
17	Sandhausen	22	5	3	14	-19	18
18	Wurzburger Kickers	23	4	3	16	-24	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bochum	12	8	2	2	+18	26
2	Heidenheim	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	7	3	1	+7	24
4	Hamburg	11	7	2	2	+16	23
5	Holstein Kiel	12	7	2	3	+5	23
6	Hannover	11	6	3	2	+11	21
7	Erzgebirge Aue	11	6	3	2	+6	21
8	Paderborn	11	6	3	2	+5	21
9	Greuther Furth	11	6	2	3	+7	20
10	Regensburg	12	5	4	3	+3	19
11	Braunschweig	12	5	2	5	-4	17
12	Sandhausen	11	4	3	4	-1	15
13	St Pauli	11	4	3	4	-2	15
14	Karlsruhe	11	4	2	5	+1	14
15	Darmstadt	12	4	2	6	-2	14
16	Nurnberg	11	3	3	5	-4	12
17	Wurzburger Kickers	11	3	3	5	-6	12
18	Osnabruck	11	2	1	8	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Karlsruhe	12	8	1	3	+6	25
2	Greuther Furth	12	6	5	1	+11	23
3	Holstein Kiel	11	6	4	1	+11	22
4	Hamburg	11	5	4	2	+4	19
5	Bochum	11	6	1	4	+2	19
6	Osnabruck	11	4	3	4	-4	15
7	Nurnberg	11	4	2	5	-1	14
8	St Pauli	11	3	4	4	-2	13
9	Hannover	12	4	1	7	-3	13
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	3	3	5	-4	12
11	Darmstadt	11	3	2	6	-4	11
12	Erzgebirge Aue	12	3	2	7	-6	11
13	Paderborn	12	2	4	6	-4	10
14	Regensburg	11	2	4	5	-7	10
15	Heidenheim	11	2	3	6	-10	9
16	Wurzburger Kickers	12	1	0	11	-18	3
17	Sandhausen	11	1	0	10	-18	3
18	Braunschweig	10	0	3	7	-18	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.