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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Standard
S T U U T
1–3
Full-time
Anderlecht
U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,0
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 26/28 matches
Win Ø 34%
38%
29%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
54%
39%
Both score Ø 61%
65%
57%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
22 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Standard 13. · Anderlecht 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 26 18 4 4 +38 58
2 Antwerp 28 16 7 5 +17 55
3 Waregem 33 17 4 12 +5 55
4 Genk 28 13 9 6 +16 48
5 Mechelen 27 14 5 8 +6 47
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 31 13 8 10 +2 47
7 Beerschot VA 30 13 4 13 -4 43
8 Gent 28 12 6 10 +17 42
9 Kortrijk 32 12 6 14 -2 42
10 Charleroi 31 11 8 12 +1 41
11 Anderlecht 28 8 15 5 +9 39
12 Oostende 26 11 6 9 +7 39
13 Standard 26 10 8 8 +4 38
14 Cercle Brugge 33 12 2 19 -8 38
15 Eupen 32 8 14 10 -10 38
16 St Truiden 31 8 8 15 -10 32
17 Mouscron 28 6 8 14 -19 26
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 6 8 14 -19 26
19 Waasland-Beveren 29 6 7 16 -25 25
20 Beveren 29 6 7 16 -25 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard Anderlecht
2′
🟨 Kemar Lawrence
23′
F. Amuzu 0–1
Selim Amallah 🟨
42′
Mehdi Carcela-González 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
A. Tapsoba 🔁
↦ M. Carcela-González
61′
M. Lestienne 🔁
↦ M. Balikwisha
61′
61′
🔁 M. Dauda
↦ A. Diaby
62′
🟨 Paul Omo Mukairu
Nicolas Gavory 🟨
63′
66′
🔁 J. Bruun Larsen
↦ P. Mukairu
E. Shamir 🔁
↦ S. Bastien
69′
M. Sissako 🔁
↦ N. Gavory
69′
Merveille Bokadi 🟨
71′
71′
K. Lawrence 0–2
J. Muleka 🔁
↦ G. Cimirot
75′
77′
🔁 K. Sardella
↦ H. Delcroix
1–2 S. Amallah
Klauss
83′
94′
M. Dauda 1–3
F. Amuzu
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Standard

16 A. Bodart G
34 K. Laifis D
24 N. Gavory D
20 M. Bokadi D
41 H. Siquet D
10 M. Carcela-González M
8 G. Cimirot M
28 S. Bastien M
19 S. Amallah M
14 Klauss F
32 M. Balikwisha F
Bench (7)
23 A. Tapsoba
22 M. Lestienne
15 E. Shamir
5 M. Sissako
17 J. Muleka
11 W. Balikwisha
30 L. Henkinet

Coach: M. Leye

Anderlecht

1 T. Wellenreuther G
92 K. Lawrence D
20 M. Miazga D
62 M. Murillo D
42 H. Delcroix M
8 J. Cullen M
40 F. Amuzu F
48 A. Lokonga M
23 A. Diaby M
7 L. Nmecha F
12 P. Mukairu F
Bench (7)
38 M. Dauda
11 J. Bruun Larsen
54 K. Sardella
52 M. Stroeykens
16 B. Verbruggen
46 A. El Hadj
25 A. Trebel

Coach: V. Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,64
U
3,17
B ✓
2,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,82
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.