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Premier League

Referee: S Attwell

Chelsea

S S S S U

0–0

Full-time

Man United

U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Man United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,7

4,0

Scored

1,3

2,8

Conceded

0,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,7

This season — Premier League · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 52%

48%

56%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

48%

64%

Both score Ø 54%

44%

64%

Average goals

2,6

3,4

Scored

1,6

2,1

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

18 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chelsea 5. · Man United 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	26	19	5	2	+36	62
2	Man United	25	14	7	4	+21	49
3	Leicester	26	15	4	7	+15	49
4	West Ham	26	13	6	7	+9	45
5	Chelsea	25	12	7	6	+16	43
6	Liverpool	25	11	7	7	+11	40
7	Everton	24	12	4	8	+4	40
8	Tottenham	25	11	6	8	+14	39
9	Aston Villa	24	12	3	9	+12	39
10	Arsenal	26	11	4	11	+7	37
11	Leeds	26	11	2	13	-1	35
12	Wolves	26	9	7	10	-6	34
13	Crystal Palace	26	9	6	11	-14	33
14	Southampton	25	8	6	11	-12	30
15	Burnley	26	7	7	12	-16	28
16	Brighton	26	5	11	10	-7	26
17	Newcastle	26	7	5	14	-17	26
18	Fulham	26	4	11	11	-11	23
19	West Brom	26	3	8	15	-35	17
20	Sheffield United	25	3	2	20	-26	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	13	10	2	1	+19	32
2	West Ham	13	7	3	3	+6	24
3	Liverpool	13	7	2	4	+6	23
4	Chelsea	12	6	4	2	+12	22
5	Man United	13	6	3	4	+9	21
6	Tottenham	13	6	3	4	+8	21
7	Leicester	13	6	1	6	+1	19
8	Wolves	13	5	4	4	+1	19
9	Arsenal	13	5	3	5	+2	18
10	Leeds	13	5	2	6	+2	17
11	Southampton	13	5	2	6	+1	17
12	Aston Villa	11	5	1	5	+4	16
13	Burnley	13	4	4	5	-4	16
14	Crystal Palace	13	4	4	5	-7	16
15	Newcastle	13	4	3	6	-6	15
16	Everton	12	4	2	6	-3	14
17	Brighton	13	1	7	5	-5	10
18	Fulham	13	2	4	7	-9	10
19	West Brom	13	2	4	7	-23	10
20	Sheffield United	12	2	1	9	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	13	9	3	1	+17	30
2	Leicester	13	9	3	1	+14	30
3	Man United	12	8	4	0	+12	28
4	Everton	12	8	2	2	+7	26
5	Aston Villa	13	7	2	4	+8	23
6	Chelsea	13	6	3	4	+4	21
7	West Ham	13	6	3	4	+3	21
8	Arsenal	13	6	1	6	+5	19
9	Tottenham	12	5	3	4	+6	18
10	Leeds	13	6	0	7	-3	18
11	Liverpool	12	4	5	3	+5	17
12	Crystal Palace	13	5	2	6	-7	17
13	Brighton	13	4	4	5	-2	16
14	Wolves	13	4	3	6	-7	15
15	Fulham	13	2	7	4	-2	13
16	Southampton	12	3	4	5	-13	13
17	Burnley	13	3	3	7	-12	12
18	Newcastle	13	3	2	8	-11	11
19	West Brom	13	1	4	8	-12	7
20	Sheffield United	13	1	1	11	-17	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.