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Bundesliga
Referee: D Schlager
Hertha
T S U T S
0–5
Full-time
FC Koln
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,3
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 22/21 matches
Win Ø 33%
32%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
73%
67%
Both score Ø 56%
55%
57%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

61% Possession 39%
9 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 11
4 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 13. · FC Koln 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 23 15 4 4 +39 49
2 RB Leipzig 22 13 6 3 +31 45
3 Dortmund 22 12 6 4 +31 42
4 M'gladbach 21 13 3 5 +18 42
5 Leverkusen 22 12 4 6 +9 40
6 Schalke 04 22 9 9 4 +5 36
7 Freiburg 22 9 6 7 +0 33
8 Hoffenheim 22 10 3 9 -2 33
9 Wolfsburg 22 8 7 7 +0 31
10 Ein Frankfurt 22 8 4 10 +2 28
11 Augsburg 22 7 6 9 -11 27
12 Union Berlin 22 8 2 12 -8 26
13 Hertha 22 7 5 10 -11 26
14 FC Koln 21 7 2 12 -14 23
15 Mainz 22 7 1 14 -17 22
16 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 4 5 13 -25 17
17 Werder Bremen 22 4 5 13 -26 17
18 Paderborn 23 4 4 15 -21 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha FC Koln
4′
J. Córdoba 0–1
F. Kainz
22′
J. Córdoba 0–2
I. Jakobs
37′
F. Kainz 0–3
J. Córdoba
Niklas Stark 🟨
45′
45′
🔁 Jorge Meré
↦ R. Czichos
Half-time 0–3
V. Darida 🔁
↦ A. Maier
46′
D. Lukébakio 🔁
↦ Matheus Cunha
46′
55′
🟨 Jorge Meré
62′
F. Kainz 0–4
E. Rexhbecaj
Santiago Ascacibar 🟨
69′
69′
M. Uth 0–5
73′
🔁 S. Terodde
↦ J. Córdoba
77′
🟨 Elvis Rexhbecaj
78′
🔁 M. Höger
↦ I. Jakobs
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Hertha

3-1-4-2
22 R. Jarstein G
20 D. Boyata D
4 K. Rekik D
5 N. Stark D
17 M. Mittelstädt M
15 M. Grujić M
18 S. Ascacíbar M
23 A. Maier M
30 M. Wolf M
7 K. Piątek F
26 Matheus Cunha F
Bench (9)
6 V. Darida
28 D. Lukébakio
13 L. Klünter
21 M. Plattenhardt
1 T. Kraft
25 J. Torunarigha
19 V. Ibišević
3 P. Skjelbred
14 P. Köpke

Coach: A. Nouri

FC Koln

4-2-3-1
1 T. Horn G
5 R. Czichos D
37 T. Leistner D
2 B. Schmitz D
19 K. Ehizibue D
38 I. Jakobs M
30 F. Kainz M
28 E. Skhiri M
20 E. Rexhbecaj M
15 J. Córdoba F
23 M. Uth M
Bench (9)
22 Jorge Meré
9 S. Terodde
6 M. Höger
14 J. Hector
24 D. Drexler
11 K. Schindler
32 J. Krahl
7 M. Risse
29 J. Thielmann

Coach: M. Gisdol

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,43
U
3,38
B ✓
2,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
2,00
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.