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Championship
Referee: J Brooks
Birmingham
U S S S U
3–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham Sheffield Weds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,7
This season — Championship · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
45%
45%
Both score Ø 57%
61%
52%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 6
13 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Birmingham 14. · Sheffield Weds 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 33 17 12 4 +23 63
2 Leeds 33 17 8 8 +18 59
3 Fulham 32 16 8 8 +12 56
4 Nott'm Forest 33 15 10 8 +12 55
5 Preston 33 15 8 10 +10 53
6 Bristol City 33 15 8 10 +2 53
7 Blackburn 34 14 9 11 +10 51
8 Cardiff 32 12 13 7 +3 49
9 Millwall 33 12 13 8 +2 49
10 Swansea 31 12 12 7 +5 48
11 Brentford 31 13 8 10 +21 47
12 Derby 34 11 12 11 -4 45
13 Sheffield Weds 33 12 8 13 +3 44
14 Birmingham 33 12 8 13 -7 44
15 Reading 33 11 9 13 +4 42
16 QPR 33 12 6 15 -7 42
17 Hull 33 11 8 14 -4 41
18 Middlesbrough 33 8 13 12 -9 37
19 Charlton 33 9 9 15 -6 36
20 Huddersfield 33 9 9 15 -14 36
21 Stoke 33 10 4 19 -12 34
22 Wigan 33 7 10 16 -17 31
23 Luton 33 9 3 21 -27 30
24 Barnsley 33 6 10 17 -18 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Birmingham Sheffield Weds
0–1 J. Murphy
own goal
6′
20′
B. Bannan 0–2
K. Lee
27′
🟨 Tom Lees
1–2 L. Jutkiewicz
S. Hogan
30′
34′
F. Forestieri 1–3
Gary Gardner 🟨
43′
45′
🟨 Fernando Forestieri
Half-time 1–3
46′
🔁 M. Fox
↦ D. Iorfa
46′
🔁 C. Wickham
↦ J. Pelupessy
64′
🟨 Barry Bannan
65′
J. Murphy 1–4
F. Forestieri
D. Crowley 🔁
↦ I. Šunjić
69′
72′
🔁 S. Fletcher
↦ F. Forestieri
74′
🟨 Steven Fletcher
H. Dean 🔁
↦ J. Clarke-Salter
77′
J. Montero 🔁
↦ Jérémie Bela
82′
86′
🟨 Morgan Fox
2–4 S. Hogan
L. Jutkiewicz
91′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Birmingham

4-4-2
1 L. Camp G
5 M. Colin D
4 M. Roberts D
3 K. Pedersen D
14 J. Clarke-Salter D
20 G. Gardner M
11 Jérémie Bela M
34 I. Šunjić M
22 J. Bellingham M
10 L. Jutkiewicz F
40 S. Hogan F
Bench (7)
7 D. Crowley
12 H. Dean
15 J. Montero
6 M. Kieftenbeld
2 W. Harding
44 C. Boyd Munce
27 C. Trueman

Coach: Josep Clotet Ruiz

Sheffield Weds

5-4-1
25 C. Dawson G
13 J. Börner D
15 T. Lees D
27 D. Iorfa D
5 K. Lee M
10 B. Bannan M
2 L. Palmer D
7 K. Harris M
8 J. Pelupessy D
14 J. Murphy M
45 F. Forestieri F
Bench (7)
3 M. Fox
19 C. Wickham
9 S. Fletcher
17 A. Nuhiu
38 A. da Cruz
47 J. Windass
28 J. Wildsmith

Coach: G. Monk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,22
U ✓
3,19
B
3,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,13
U2,5
1,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Brooks · 175 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.