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Bundesliga
Referee: S Stegemann
Schalke 04
S T U U U
0–5
Full-time
RB Leipzig
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 50%
41%
59%
Points per game
1,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
55%
77%
Both score Ø 62%
55%
68%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
3 Shots 22
2 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
5 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 6. · RB Leipzig 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 23 15 4 4 +39 49
2 Dortmund 23 13 6 4 +33 45
3 RB Leipzig 22 13 6 3 +31 45
4 M'gladbach 22 13 4 5 +18 43
5 Leverkusen 22 12 4 6 +9 40
6 Schalke 04 22 9 9 4 +5 36
7 Hoffenheim 23 10 4 9 -2 34
8 Freiburg 23 9 6 8 -2 33
9 Wolfsburg 22 8 7 7 +0 31
10 Ein Frankfurt 22 8 4 10 +2 28
11 Augsburg 22 7 6 9 -11 27
12 Union Berlin 22 8 2 12 -8 26
13 FC Koln 22 8 2 12 -9 26
14 Hertha 23 7 5 11 -16 26
15 Mainz 22 7 1 14 -17 22
16 Fortuna Dusseldorf 23 5 5 13 -23 20
17 Werder Bremen 23 4 5 14 -28 17
18 Paderborn 23 4 4 15 -21 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 RB Leipzig
1′
M. Sabitzer 0–1
T. Werner
Benito Raman 🟨
3′
5′
🟨 Konrad Laimer
Amine Harit 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
A. Kutucu 🔁
↦ R. Matondo
46′
54′
🔁 Y. Poulsen
↦ P. Schick
A. Schöpf 🔁
↦ W. McKennie
55′
57′
🟨 Timo Werner
61′
T. Werner 0–2
C. Nkunku
65′
🔁 A. Haidara
↦ K. Laimer
67′
M. Halstenberg 0–3
C. Nkunku
M. Gregoritsch 🔁
↦ S. Serdar
70′
75′
🔁 E. Forsberg
↦ T. Werner
78′
🟨 Dayot Upamecano
80′
Angeliño 0–4
C. Nkunku
89′
E. Forsberg 0–5
C. Nkunku
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-3-1-2
35 A. Nübel G
24 B. Oczipka D
5 M. Nastasić D
20 J. Kenny D
4 O. Kabak D
6 Omar Mascarell M
8 S. Serdar M
25 A. Harit M
2 W. McKennie M
9 B. Raman F
14 R. Matondo F
Bench (9)
15 A. Kutucu
28 A. Schöpf
11 M. Gregoritsch
19 G. Burgstaller
34 M. Langer
3 Juan Miranda
21 J. Todibo
16 N. Boujellab
31 T. Becker

Coach: D. Wagner

RB Leipzig

3-1-4-2
1 P. Gulácsi G
23 M. Halstenberg D
16 L. Klostermann D
3 Angeliño M
22 N. Mukiele M
5 D. Upamecano D
7 M. Sabitzer M
27 K. Laimer M
18 C. Nkunku M
11 T. Werner F
21 P. Schick F
Bench (8)
9 Y. Poulsen
8 A. Haidara
10 E. Forsberg
25 Daniel Olmo
17 A. Lookman
26 E. Ampadu
28 Y. Mvogo
19 H. Wolf

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,13
U
4,00
B ✓
1,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,29
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.