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Pro League

Referee: Bram Van Driessche

Anderlecht

S U T S S

1–0

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

1,8

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

This season — Pro League · 26/23 matches

Win Ø 29%

31%

26%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

46%

61%

Both score Ø 60%

50%

70%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%

12 Shots 3

6 Shots on target 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Anderlecht 8. · Royal Excel Mouscron 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	27	20	6	1	+44	66
2	Gent	27	16	6	5	+28	54
3	Charleroi	27	14	9	4	+24	51
4	Antwerp	27	15	6	6	+20	51
5	Standard	28	14	6	8	+18	48
6	Genk	28	14	5	9	+11	47
7	Mechelen	26	12	5	9	-1	41
8	Anderlecht	26	8	11	7	+3	35
9	Waregem	25	10	5	10	+0	35
10	St Truiden	28	9	6	13	-13	33
11	Eupen	27	8	6	13	-16	30
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	23	6	9	8	-3	27
13	Mouscron	24	6	9	9	-4	27
14	Kortrijk	27	7	5	15	-11	26
15	Oostende	27	6	4	17	-23	22
16	Waasland-Beveren	23	5	5	13	-24	20
17	Beveren	23	5	5	13	-24	20
18	Cercle Brugge	27	4	4	19	-29	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	14	12	2	0	+28	38
2	Club Brugge	13	10	3	0	+26	33
3	Standard	14	10	2	2	+19	32
4	Antwerp	12	10	2	0	+17	32
5	Genk	14	10	1	3	+10	31
6	Charleroi	13	9	2	2	+13	29
7	Anderlecht	14	5	6	3	+5	21
8	Waregem	11	6	1	4	+9	19
9	Kortrijk	15	5	3	7	+1	18
10	Oostende	14	5	3	6	-3	18
11	Mouscron	12	4	5	3	+3	17
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	4	5	3	+3	17
13	Mechelen	13	4	4	5	-5	16
14	St Truiden	13	3	6	4	-1	15
15	Eupen	13	3	5	5	-5	14
16	Cercle Brugge	14	4	2	8	-8	14
17	Waasland-Beveren	12	3	2	7	-14	11
18	Beveren	12	3	2	7	-14	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	14	10	3	1	+18	33
2	Mechelen	13	8	1	4	+4	25
3	Charleroi	14	5	7	2	+11	22
4	Antwerp	15	5	4	6	+3	19
5	St Truiden	15	6	0	9	-12	18
6	Genk	14	4	4	6	+1	16
7	Gent	13	4	4	5	+0	16
8	Standard	14	4	4	6	-1	16
9	Waregem	14	4	4	6	-9	16
10	Eupen	14	5	1	8	-11	16
11	Anderlecht	12	3	5	4	-2	14
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	2	4	5	-6	10
13	Mouscron	12	2	4	6	-7	10
14	Waasland-Beveren	11	2	3	6	-10	9
15	Beveren	11	2	3	6	-10	9
16	Kortrijk	12	2	2	8	-12	8
17	Oostende	13	1	1	11	-20	4
18	Cercle Brugge	13	0	2	11	-21	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.