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La Liga
Referee: César Soto
Barcelona
S T S S S
5–0
Full-time
Eibar
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 24/23 matches
Win Ø 47%
67%
26%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
71%
48%
Both score Ø 53%
63%
43%
Average goals
3,6
2,3
Scored
2,4
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

69% Possession 31%
13 Shots 12
11 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 5
8 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 2. · Eibar 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 24 15 8 1 +30 53
2 Barcelona 24 16 4 4 +28 52
3 Getafe 24 12 6 6 +14 42
4 Ath Madrid 24 10 10 4 +8 40
5 Sevilla 24 11 7 6 +6 40
6 Villarreal 24 11 5 8 +10 38
7 Valencia 24 10 8 6 +1 38
8 Sociedad 23 11 4 8 +8 37
9 Granada 24 10 3 11 -2 33
10 Ath Bilbao 24 7 10 7 +3 31
11 Osasuna 24 7 10 7 -1 31
12 Betis 25 7 9 9 -5 30
13 Levante 24 9 2 13 -6 29
14 Alaves 24 7 6 11 -9 27
15 Valladolid 24 5 11 8 -7 26
16 Eibar 23 6 6 11 -10 24
17 Celta 25 5 9 11 -12 24
18 Mallorca 25 6 4 15 -16 22
19 Leganes 25 4 7 14 -19 19
20 Espanol 24 4 7 13 -21 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona Eibar
1–0 L. Messi
I. Rakitić
14′
2–0 L. Messi
A. Vidal
37′
3–0 L. Messi
40′
Half-time 3–0
F. de Jong 🔁
↦ Busquets
59′
64′
🟨 Gonzalo Escalante
66′
🔁 Quique González
↦ Sergi Enrich
66′
🔁 P. De Blasis
↦ T. Inui
S. Umtiti 🔁
↦ Piqué
68′
M. Braithwaite 🔁
↦ A. Griezmann
72′
83′
🔁 S. Cristóforo
↦ Edu Expósito
85′
🟨 Papakouli Diop
4–0 L. Messi
87′
5–0 Arthur
89′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 Marc-André ter Stegen G
2 Nélson Semedo D
3 Gerard Piqué D
15 Clément Lenglet D
24 Junior Firpo D
4 Ivan Rakitić M
5 Sergio Busquets M
8 Arthur M
10 Lionel Messi F
17 Antoine Griezmann F
22 Arturo Vidal F
Bench (7)
13 Neto
39 Sergio Akieme Rodriguez
23 Samuel Umtiti
20 Sergi Roberto
21 Frenkie de Jong
19 Martin Braithwaite
31 Ansu Fati

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Eibar

4-2-3-1
1 Marko Dmitrović G
24 Álvaro Tejero D
2 Esteban Burgos D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
15 José Ángel D
8 Papakouli Diop M
10 Edu Expósito M
14 Fabián Orellana M
5 Gonzalo Escalante M
22 Takashi Inui M
9 Sergi Enrich F
Bench (7)
13 Yoel Rodríguez
12 Paulo Oliveira
21 Pedro León
18 Sebastián Cristóforo
16 Pablo De Blasis
6 Sergio Álvarez
7 Quique

Coach: Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,20
U
7,01
B
13,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,40
U2,5
2,89
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.