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Pro League
Referee: Frederik Geldhof
Cercle Brugge
S T T T T
3–2
Full-time
Mechelen
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 27/26 matches
Win Ø 31%
15%
46%
Points per game
0,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
63%
73%
Both score Ø 61%
59%
62%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

12 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 1
15 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cercle Brugge 18. · Mechelen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 27 20 6 1 +44 66
2 Gent 28 16 7 5 +28 55
3 Charleroi 28 15 9 4 +28 54
4 Antwerp 27 15 6 6 +20 51
5 Standard 28 14 6 8 +18 48
6 Genk 28 14 5 9 +11 47
7 Waregem 28 12 5 11 +6 41
8 Mechelen 26 12 5 9 -1 41
9 Anderlecht 28 9 12 7 +4 39
10 St Truiden 28 9 6 13 -13 33
11 Mouscron 25 7 9 9 -2 30
12 Eupen 27 8 6 13 -16 30
13 Royal Excel Mouscron 24 6 9 9 -4 27
14 Kortrijk 27 7 5 15 -11 26
15 Oostende 28 6 4 18 -25 22
16 Waasland-Beveren 24 5 5 14 -29 20
17 Beveren 24 5 5 14 -29 20
18 Cercle Brugge 27 4 4 19 -29 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cercle Brugge Mechelen
1–0 M. Eppel
S. Peeters
2′
2–0 D. Hotič
5′
10′
J. Vanlerberghe 2–1
26′
🟨 Thibault Peyre
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 J. Van Damme
↦ A. Swinkels
63′
🔁 W. Togui
↦ N. Storm
74′
🟨 Joachim Van Damme
75′
🔁 C. Tainmont
↦ A. Corryn
A. Gory 🔁
↦ D. Hotič
78′
L. Foster 🔁
↦ K. Hazard
78′
82′
J. Van Damme 2–2
I. de Camargo
Kouadio Dabila 🟨
83′
D. De Belder 🔁
↦ K. Hoggas
87′
3–2 S. Peeters
M. Eppel
91′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge

4-1-4-1
99 L. Moser G
3 D. Chatziisaias D
35 D. Velkovski M
22 K. Dabila D
41 G. Biancone D
8 S. Peeters M
20 K. Hoggas M
18 L. Coulibaly M
19 M. Eppel F
10 D. Hotič M
7 K. Hazard F
Bench (7)
28 A. Gory
13 L. Foster
9 D. De Belder
15 J. Omolo
34 T. Somers
30 G. Donsah
1 G. Hubert

Coach: B. Storck

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
1 B. Castro G
5 A. Swinkels D
22 A. Corryn D
23 T. Peyre D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
2 J. Van Cleemput D
8 O. Kaya M
7 G. Hairemans M
16 R. Schoofs M
10 I. de Camargo F
11 N. Storm F
Bench (7)
13 J. Van Damme
9 W. Togui
21 C. Tainmont
40 A. Vranckx
3 L. Bijker
29 I. Kabore
12 S. Bouzian

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,41
U
3,47
B
2,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,07
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Frederik Geldhof · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.