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Premiership
Referee: G Duncan
Aberdeen
U U T S T
1–2
Full-time
Ross County
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Ross County
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,7
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,3
This season — Premiership · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 32%
41%
22%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
52%
70%
Both score Ø 48%
44%
52%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,1
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

8 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 5
4 Corners 2
11 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 3. · Ross County 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 27 24 1 2 +63 73
2 Rangers 26 20 3 3 +45 63
3 Aberdeen 27 11 8 8 +3 41
4 Motherwell 26 13 2 11 +1 41
5 Livingston 27 10 7 10 +3 37
6 Hibernian 27 9 9 9 -3 36
7 Kilmarnock 27 9 5 13 -7 32
8 ST Johnstone 26 7 10 9 -19 31
9 Ross County 27 6 8 13 -28 26
10 St Mirren 26 5 7 14 -14 22
11 Hamilton 27 4 8 15 -22 20
12 Hearts 27 3 10 14 -22 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aberdeen Ross County
Dean Campbell 🟨
18′
21′
🟨 Callum Morris
1–0 C. Main
S. Cosgrove
28′
Dean Campbell 🟨
32′
Dean Campbell 🟥
32′
43′
B. McKay 1–1
R. Foster
Half-time 1–1
M. Kennedy 🔁
↦ C. McLennan
59′
71′
🔁 B. Spittal
↦ H. Paton
R. Hedges 🔁
↦ N. McGinn
76′
82′
🔁 O. Shaw
↦ L. Erwin
D. McGeouch 🔁
↦ S. Cosgrove
83′
88′
B. McKay 1–2
D. Cowie
89′
🔁 R. Draper
↦ B. McKay
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-4-2
1 J. Lewis G
4 A. Considine D
2 S. Logan D
14 A. Taylor D
5 S. McKenna D
10 N. McGinn F
19 L. Ferguson M
24 D. Campbell F
9 C. Main F
16 S. Cosgrove F
18 C. McLennan F
Bench (7)
23 M. Kennedy
11 R. Hedges
17 D. McGeouch
25 B. Anderson
20 T. Černý
8 R. Hernández
6 M. Devlin

Coach: D. McInnes

Ross County

3-5-2
1 R. Laidlaw G
18 R. Foster D
4 L. Fontaine D
5 C. Morris D
2 M. Fraser D
26 D. Cowie M
11 I. Vigurs M
14 J. Mullin M
24 H. Paton M
9 B. McKay F
8 L. Erwin F
Bench (7)
20 B. Spittal
19 O. Shaw
6 R. Draper
21 N. Baxter
3 S. Kelly
22 J. Tillson
15 K. Watson

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,50
U
4,30
B ✓
5,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Duncan · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.