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Süper Lig
Referee: M Kalkavan
Alanyaspor
U S S S S
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,8
This season — Süper Lig · 19/18 matches
Win Ø 43%
53%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
47%
61%
Both score Ø 57%
58%
56%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
14 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 6
4 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 5. · Yeni Malatyaspor 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sivasspor 19 12 5 2 +20 41
2 Buyuksehyr 20 11 6 3 +18 39
3 Trabzonspor 19 11 5 3 +23 38
4 Fenerbahce 20 11 4 5 +16 37
5 Alanyaspor 19 10 5 4 +20 35
6 Galatasaray 19 9 6 4 +12 33
7 Besiktas 20 10 3 7 +4 33
8 Goztep 19 8 5 6 +3 29
9 Yeni Malatyaspor 18 6 6 6 +7 24
10 Gaziantep 19 6 6 7 -5 24
11 Rizespor 20 7 3 10 -9 24
12 Denizlispor 19 6 4 9 -8 22
13 Genclerbirligi 20 5 6 9 -7 21
14 Konyaspor 20 4 7 9 -11 19
15 Antalyaspor 20 4 6 10 -18 18
16 Kasimpasa 20 4 4 12 -15 16
17 Ankaragücü 20 2 8 10 -20 14
18 Kayserispor 19 2 5 12 -30 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor
Welinton 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Bakasetas ⚽
P. Cissé
46′
2–0 P. Cissé ⚽
48′
50′
🟨 Teenage Hadebe
G. Tzavellas 🔁
↦ Welinton
57′
57′
🔁 V. Kjartansson
↦ U. Bulut
Fabrice N'Sakala 🟥
60′
65′
🔁 R. Walter
↦ M. Donald
66′
🟨 Murat Yildirim
C. Gülselam 🔁
↦ S. Uçan
71′
72′
🔁 M. Akbaş
↦ T. Hadebe
78′
🟨 Arturo Mina
E. Karaca 🔁
↦ Djalma
85′
Junior Fernandes 🟨
90′
94′
⚽ I. Chebake 2–1
G. Töre
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

4-2-3-1
28 Marafona G
21 F. N'Sakala D
23 Welinton D
44 S. Caulker D
8 S. Uçan M
26 E. Siopis M
25 O. Bulut D
30 Djalma M
10 J. Fernándes M
9 P. Cissé F
11 A. Bakasetas M
Bench (10)
31 G. Tzavellas
6 C. Gülselam
7 E. Karaca
27 U. Güneş
34 E. Birniçan
99 Y. Bammou
35 M. Çağıran
17 K. Kanak
77 E. Altıntaş
19 M. Pektemek

Coach: E. Bulut

Yeni Malatyaspor

4-3-3
30 F. Farnolle G
91 S. Aytaç D
29 I. Chebake D
44 A. Mina D
16 T. Hadebe D
8 M. Yıldırım M
20 M. Donald M
7 G. Töre F
25 G. Chalali M
9 U. Bulut F
10 T. Bifouma F
Bench (9)
24 V. Kjartansson
54 R. Walter
15 M. Akbaş
76 Ö. Özdemir
22 A. Damlu
55 Y. Ndayishimiye
14 A. Ildız
3 E. Kaş
45 Karim Hafez

Coach: K. Özdeş

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,48
U
4,40
B
5,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,09
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

M Kalkavan · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.