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Pro League

Referee: Frederik Geldhof

Royal Excel Mouscron

U T U S U

1–2

Full-time

Mechelen

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

This season — Pro League · 20/23 matches

Win Ø 39%

30%

48%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

55%

70%

Both score Ø 63%

65%

61%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

6 Corners 1

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 10. · Mechelen 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	22	17	4	1	+38	55
2	Charleroi	23	13	7	3	+20	46
3	Antwerp	23	13	5	5	+19	44
4	Standard	24	12	6	6	+19	42
5	Gent	22	11	6	5	+17	39
6	Genk	24	11	5	8	+9	38
7	Mechelen	23	11	5	7	+2	38
8	Waregem	22	10	5	7	+8	35
9	Anderlecht	22	6	10	6	+2	28
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	20	6	9	5	+2	27
11	Mouscron	21	6	9	6	+1	27
12	St Truiden	23	6	6	11	-17	24
13	Eupen	22	5	5	12	-18	20
14	Kortrijk	23	5	4	14	-12	19
15	Oostende	22	5	4	13	-16	19
16	Waasland-Beveren	21	4	5	12	-24	17
17	Cercle Brugge	23	4	4	15	-25	16
18	Beveren	20	3	5	12	-25	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	11	9	2	0	+21	29
2	Standard	12	9	2	1	+19	29
3	Antwerp	10	9	1	0	+16	28
4	Club Brugge	11	8	3	0	+21	27
5	Genk	12	8	1	3	+8	25
6	Charleroi	11	8	1	2	+8	25
7	Waregem	10	6	1	3	+12	19
8	Anderlecht	12	4	6	2	+5	18
9	Royal Excel Mouscron	10	4	5	1	+6	17
10	Mouscron	11	4	5	2	+5	17
11	Mechelen	11	4	4	3	-1	16
12	Oostende	11	4	3	4	-2	15
13	Cercle Brugge	12	4	2	6	-6	14
14	St Truiden	12	2	6	4	-3	12
15	Kortrijk	12	3	2	7	-2	11
16	Waasland-Beveren	11	3	2	6	-13	11
17	Eupen	11	2	4	5	-6	10
18	Beveren	10	2	2	6	-14	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	11	9	1	1	+17	28
2	Mechelen	12	7	1	4	+3	22
3	Charleroi	12	5	6	1	+12	21
4	Antwerp	13	4	4	5	+3	16
5	Waregem	12	4	4	4	-4	16
6	Genk	12	3	4	5	+1	13
7	Standard	12	3	4	5	+0	13
8	St Truiden	11	4	0	7	-14	12
9	Anderlecht	10	2	4	4	-3	10
10	Gent	11	2	4	5	-4	10
11	Mouscron	10	2	4	4	-4	10
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	10	2	4	4	-4	10
13	Eupen	11	3	1	7	-12	10
14	Kortrijk	11	2	2	7	-10	8
15	Waasland-Beveren	10	1	3	6	-11	6
16	Beveren	10	1	3	6	-11	6
17	Oostende	11	1	1	9	-14	4
18	Cercle Brugge	11	0	2	9	-19	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.