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Pro League

Referee: Lawrence Visser

Anderlecht

S U U T T

5–3

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

This season — Pro League · 17/27 matches

Win Ø 45%

59%

30%

Points per game

2,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

65%

56%

Both score Ø 61%

59%

63%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%

9 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 19

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Anderlecht 8. · Royal Excel Mouscron 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	18	14	3	1	+26	45
2	Kortrijk	27	11	6	10	+3	39
3	Antwerp	28	9	11	8	-3	38
4	St Truiden	28	9	9	10	-11	36
5	Gent	19	10	5	4	+17	35
6	Beveren	28	9	8	11	+2	35
7	Charleroi	18	9	7	2	+14	34
8	Anderlecht	17	10	4	3	+10	34
9	Oostende	28	9	6	13	+1	33
10	Genk	19	8	8	3	+10	32
11	Waregem	27	9	4	14	-7	31
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	27	8	6	13	-12	30
13	Lokeren	28	7	7	14	-15	28
14	Standard	18	7	6	5	+3	27
15	Eupen	28	5	9	14	-19	24
16	Mechelen	28	5	9	14	-19	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	9	9	0	0	+17	27
2	St Truiden	14	8	3	3	+3	27
3	Kortrijk	13	6	5	2	+10	23
4	Beveren	14	6	3	5	+7	21
5	Eupen	14	5	5	4	-1	20
6	Gent	9	6	1	2	+12	19
7	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	5	4	5	-5	19
8	Standard	9	5	3	1	+3	18
9	Oostende	14	6	0	8	+0	18
10	Anderlecht	8	5	2	1	+8	17
11	Charleroi	9	4	5	0	+6	17
12	Waregem	14	5	2	7	-7	17
13	Antwerp	14	3	7	4	+1	16
14	Mechelen	14	4	4	6	-5	16
15	Genk	10	3	6	1	+6	15
16	Lokeren	14	2	4	8	-13	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	14	6	4	4	-4	22
2	Club Brugge	9	5	3	1	+9	18
3	Lokeren	14	5	3	6	-2	18
4	Charleroi	9	5	2	2	+8	17
5	Genk	9	5	2	2	+4	17
6	Anderlecht	9	5	2	2	+2	17
7	Gent	10	4	4	2	+5	16
8	Kortrijk	14	5	1	8	-7	16
9	Oostende	14	3	6	5	+1	15
10	Waregem	13	4	2	7	+0	14
11	Beveren	14	3	5	6	-5	14
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	13	3	2	8	-7	11
13	Standard	9	2	3	4	+0	9
14	St Truiden	14	1	6	7	-14	9
15	Mechelen	14	1	5	8	-14	8
16	Eupen	14	0	4	10	-18	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.