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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
Anderlecht
S U T U U
2–0
Full-time
Genk
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,2
4,0
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 21/23 matches
Win Ø 36%
24%
48%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
48%
70%
Both score Ø 59%
52%
65%
Average goals
2,1
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 11. · Genk 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 22 17 4 1 +38 55
2 Charleroi 23 13 7 3 +20 46
3 Antwerp 23 13 5 5 +19 44
4 Standard 24 12 6 6 +19 42
5 Gent 22 11 6 5 +17 39
6 Genk 23 11 5 7 +11 38
7 Waregem 22 10 5 7 +8 35
8 Mechelen 22 10 5 7 +1 35
9 Mouscron 20 6 9 5 +2 27
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 20 6 9 5 +2 27
11 Anderlecht 21 5 10 6 +0 25
12 St Truiden 22 6 6 10 -16 24
13 Eupen 22 5 5 12 -18 20
14 Kortrijk 23 5 4 14 -12 19
15 Oostende 22 5 4 13 -16 19
16 Cercle Brugge 23 4 4 15 -25 16
17 Waasland-Beveren 20 3 5 12 -25 14
18 Beveren 20 3 5 12 -25 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Genk
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Vlap
J. Doku
54′
2–0 M. Vlap
61′
62′
🔁 I. Hagi
↦ T. Bongonda
62′
🔁 M. Samatta
↦ P. Onuachu
E. Kayembe 🔁
↦ N. Chadli
82′
82′
🔁 S. Odey
↦ Neto
A. Saelemaekers 🔁
↦ J. Doku
84′
I. Thelin 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-4-2
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
4 V. Kompany D
32 D. Luckassen D
22 E. Cobbaut D
19 N. Chadli M
23 P. Žulj M
10 M. Vlap M
48 A. Lokonga F
55 M. Kana D
93 K. Roofe F
49 J. Doku F
Bench (7)
39 E. Kayembe
56 A. Saelemaekers
24 I. Thelin
25 A. Trebel
33 D. Roef
5 E. Makarenko
54 K. Sardella

Coach: F. Vercauteren

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
6 S. Dewaest D
33 J. Lucumí D
31 J. Mæhle M
5 Neto D
17 P. Hrošovský M
25 S. Berge M
18 P. Onuachu F
27 T. Bongonda M
7 J. Ito
11 J. Paintsil F
Bench (7)
23 I. Hagi
10 M. Samatta
15 S. Odey
4 D. Wouters
46 C. Cuesta
28 G. Coucke
2 C. De Norre

Coach: H. Wolf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,49
U
3,43
B
2,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.