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Primeira Liga

Referee: Vitor Ferreira

Maritimo

S S U U T

1–2

Full-time

Aves

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Aves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

1,5

1,7

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 19%

21%

16%

Points per game

1,1

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

37%

58%

Both score Ø 53%

53%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

0,9

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%

11 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 2

3 Offside 4

19 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Maritimo 13. · Aves 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	20	19	0	1	+40	57
2	Porto	21	17	2	2	+37	53
3	Sp Lisbon	19	11	2	6	+11	35
4	Famalicao	20	10	5	5	+7	35
5	Rio Ave	20	9	5	6	+5	32
6	Sp Braga	19	9	3	7	+7	30
7	Guimaraes	19	6	8	5	+6	26
8	Setubal	19	6	7	6	-7	25
9	Vitoria Setubal	19	6	7	6	-7	25
10	Tondela	21	6	6	9	-9	24
11	Gil Vicente	19	5	8	6	-1	23
12	Boavista	19	5	7	7	-4	22
13	Maritimo	19	4	9	6	-8	21
14	Santa Clara	19	5	6	8	-8	21
15	Moreirense	19	4	7	8	-5	19
16	Belenenses	20	5	3	12	-20	18
17	Pacos Ferreira	19	4	4	11	-14	16
18	Portimonense	20	2	9	9	-14	15
19	Aves	19	3	0	16	-16	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	11	10	0	1	+23	30
2	Porto	10	9	0	1	+22	27
3	Famalicao	10	6	2	2	+10	20
4	Gil Vicente	10	4	6	0	+7	18
5	Rio Ave	11	5	3	3	+5	18
6	Guimaraes	10	5	2	3	+9	17
7	Sp Lisbon	9	5	0	4	+2	15
8	Moreirense	9	4	2	3	+2	14
9	Sp Braga	8	4	2	2	+2	14
10	Setubal	10	3	5	2	-3	14
11	Vitoria Setubal	10	3	5	2	-3	14
12	Maritimo	9	2	5	2	-1	11
13	Pacos Ferreira	11	3	2	6	-4	11
14	Boavista	9	2	4	3	-2	10
15	Belenenses	10	3	1	6	-10	10
16	Aves	9	3	0	6	+0	9
17	Santa Clara	10	2	3	5	-6	9
18	Portimonense	9	1	4	4	-4	7
19	Tondela	10	1	3	6	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	9	9	0	0	+17	27
2	Porto	11	8	2	1	+15	26
3	Sp Lisbon	10	6	2	2	+9	20
4	Tondela	11	5	3	3	+1	18
5	Sp Braga	11	5	1	5	+5	16
6	Famalicao	10	4	3	3	-3	15
7	Rio Ave	9	4	2	3	+0	14
8	Santa Clara	9	3	3	3	-2	12
9	Boavista	10	3	3	4	-2	12
10	Setubal	9	3	2	4	-4	11
11	Vitoria Setubal	9	3	2	4	-4	11
12	Maritimo	10	2	4	4	-7	10
13	Guimaraes	9	1	6	2	-3	9
14	Belenenses	10	2	2	6	-10	8
15	Portimonense	11	1	5	5	-10	8
16	Moreirense	10	0	5	5	-7	5
17	Gil Vicente	9	1	2	6	-8	5
18	Pacos Ferreira	8	1	2	5	-10	5
19	Aves	10	0	0	10	-16	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.