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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Gent
S S T T S
2–1
Full-time
Oostende
T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 18/28 matches
Win Ø 41%
61%
21%
Points per game
1,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 73%
78%
68%
Average goals
3,4
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

8 Corners 3
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 8. · Oostende 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 28 12 10 6 +13 46
2 Antwerp 18 13 1 4 +13 40
3 Kortrijk 28 11 7 10 +2 40
4 Charleroi 28 11 6 11 +0 39
5 Genk 18 11 5 2 +21 38
6 Standard 18 10 6 2 +17 36
7 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 10 6 12 -1 36
8 Gent 18 11 2 5 +16 35
9 Club Brugge 18 10 4 4 +17 34
10 Anderlecht 18 10 4 4 +12 34
11 Waregem 28 8 7 13 -11 31
12 Eupen 28 9 2 17 -20 29
13 Cercle Brugge 28 7 7 14 -21 28
14 Oostende 28 6 9 13 -20 27
15 Beveren 28 5 11 12 -12 26
16 Lokeren 28 4 5 19 -26 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Oostende
1–0 Roman Yaremchuk
3′
44′
Bojan Nastić 1–1
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Jean-Luc Dompe
50′
Brecht Dejaegere 🔁
↦ Roman Yaremchuk
66′
66′
🔁 Sindrit Guri
↦ Fashion Sakala
Roman Bezus 🔁
↦ Jean-Luc Dompe
72′
75′
🔁 Jelle Bataille
↦ Robbie D'Haese
Roman Bezus 🟨
80′
83′
🔁 Francois Marquet
↦ Tom De Sutter
Anderson Esiti 🔁
↦ Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Gent

4-2-3-1
28 Thomas Kaminski G
2 Arnaud Souquet D
76 Timothy Derijck D
28 Dylan Bronn D
21 Nana Asare D
6 Birger Verstraete M
8 Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe M
10 Alexander Sørloth F
16 Jonathan Christian David F
11 Jean-Luc Dompe F
17 Roman Yaremchuk F
Bench (7)
20 Yannick Thoelen
4 Sigurd Rosted
10 Roman Bezus
9 Stallone Limbombe
44 Anderson Esiti
19 Brecht Dejaegere
13 Giorgi Kvilitaia

Oostende

4-2-3-1
28 William Dutoit G
33 Amin Nouri D
5 Goran Milović D
6 Nicolas Lombaerts D
3 Bojan Nastić D
26 Kevin Vandendriessche M
17 Jordi Vanlerberghe D
29 Robbie D'Haese M
43 Sander Coopman M
7 Fashion Sakala F
18 Tom De Sutter F
Bench (7)
1 Fabrice Ondoa
27 Brecht Capon
12 Laurens De Bock
33 Žarko Tomašević
8 Francois Marquet
25 Jelle Bataille
10 Sindrit Guri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.