Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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St Truiden
Gent
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Standard
|
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | +15 | 31 |
| 2 |
Mechelen
|
19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 |
Waregem
|
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 29 |
| 4 |
Anderlecht
|
12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +18 | 26 |
| 5 |
Gent
|
12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +12 | 26 |
| 6 |
Charleroi
|
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +5 | 26 |
| 7 |
Kortrijk
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | -2 | 24 |
| 8 |
Genk
|
17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 24 |
| 9 |
Oostende
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +15 | 23 |
| 10 |
Club Brugge
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +15 | 23 |
| 11 |
Lokeren
|
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 |
Eupen
|
18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -13 | 17 |
| 13 |
St Truiden
|
18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -8 | 16 |
| 14 |
Beveren
|
18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -14 | 15 |
| 15 |
Royal Excel Mouscron
|
19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | -24 | 11 |
| 16 |
Westerlo
|
19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | -25 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
L. Pirard
Ruben Fernandes
D. Dakonam
Coach: I. Leko
H. Van der Bruggen
B. Dejaegere
Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Kortrijk
St Truiden
St Truiden
Royal Excel Mouscron
Lokeren
St Truiden
St Truiden
Club Brugge
Eupen
St Truiden
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.