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Pro League
St Truiden
T T T S S
3–1
Full-time
Gent
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 18/12 matches
Win Ø 45%
22%
67%
Points per game
0,9
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
44%
42%
Both score Ø 39%
44%
33%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match St Truiden 13. · Gent 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Standard 18 9 4 5 +15 31
2 Mechelen 19 9 4 6 +4 31
3 Waregem 13 9 2 2 +13 29
4 Anderlecht 12 8 2 2 +18 26
5 Gent 12 8 2 2 +12 26
6 Charleroi 14 7 5 2 +5 26
7 Kortrijk 18 6 6 6 -2 24
8 Genk 17 7 3 7 -6 24
9 Oostende 11 7 2 2 +15 23
10 Club Brugge 11 7 2 2 +15 23
11 Lokeren 19 6 4 9 -5 22
12 Eupen 18 4 5 9 -13 17
13 St Truiden 18 4 4 10 -8 16
14 Beveren 18 3 6 9 -14 15
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 19 3 2 14 -24 11
16 Westerlo 19 2 5 12 -25 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Gent
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 K. Saief
↦ K. Coulibaly
1–0 P. Gerkens
46′
2–0 P. Gerkens
M. Bagayoko
49′
66′
S. Mitrović 2–1
D. Miličević
69′
🔁 R. Schoofs
↦ H. Van der Bruggen
70′
🔁 T. Foket
↦ T. Matton
W. Janssens 🔁
↦ Y. Boli
75′
Y. Ono 🔁
↦ P. Gerkens
85′
3–1 W. Janssens
M. Bagayoko
87′
Cristian Ceballos 🔁
↦ S. Peeters
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

St Truiden

21 L. Pirard
23 S. Kotysch
26 Ruben Fernandes
18 M. Bagayoko
3 D. Dakonam
6 S. De Petter
8 S. Peeters
16 C. Cuevas
14 P. Gerkens
9 N. Proschwitz
11 Y. Boli
Bench (7)
22 W. Janssens
25 Y. Ono
19 Cristian Ceballos
4 Jorge Pulido
5 A. De Sart
10 R. Bezus
28 W. Dutoît

Coach: I. Leko

Gent

20 Y. Thoelen
2 J. Taravel
55 R. Gershon
13 S. Mitrović
77 D. Miličević
8 T. Matton
17 H. Van der Bruggen
19 B. Dejaegere
44 A. Esiti
24 J. Perbet
7 K. Coulibaly
Bench (7)
15 K. Saief
16 R. Schoofs
32 T. Foket
5 O. Davidzada
23 L. Nielsen
25 B. Vandenbussche
29 T. De Smet

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.