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Pro League

Referee: Frederik Geldhof

Gent

U U S S S

2–1

Full-time

St Truiden

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,5

This season — Pro League · 4/7 matches

Win Ø 52%

75%

29%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

50%

43%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

43%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%

10 Shots 3

7 Shots on target 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 4

4 Offside 5

10 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gent 8. · St Truiden 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	6	5	0	1	+10	15
2	Club Brugge	7	4	1	2	+5	13
3	Standard	7	3	3	1	+4	12
4	Mechelen	7	3	3	1	+3	12
5	Anderlecht	5	3	2	0	+7	11
6	Charleroi	5	3	2	0	+3	11
7	Kortrijk	7	3	2	2	+0	11
8	Gent	4	3	1	0	+6	10
9	Genk	7	3	1	3	+0	10
10	St Truiden	7	2	1	4	-2	7
11	Eupen	7	2	1	4	-5	7
12	Lokeren	8	2	1	5	-5	7
13	Oostende	4	2	0	2	+0	6
14	Beveren	8	1	3	4	-6	6
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	8	2	0	6	-8	6
16	Westerlo	7	0	1	6	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Waregem	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Kortrijk	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Standard	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	St Truiden	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Charleroi	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Genk	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Oostende	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Lokeren	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Beveren	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Eupen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	5	1	0	4	-8	3
16	Westerlo	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Mechelen	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Waregem	3	2	0	1	+5	6
4	Club Brugge	4	2	0	2	+3	6
5	Standard	4	1	2	1	+0	5
6	Charleroi	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Kortrijk	4	1	1	2	-4	4
8	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	1	0	2	+0	3
9	Genk	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Eupen	4	1	0	3	-4	3
11	Gent	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Beveren	4	0	1	3	-5	1
13	Lokeren	4	0	1	3	-5	1
14	Oostende	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	St Truiden	3	0	0	3	-5	0
16	Westerlo	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.