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Pro League
Referee: Wesley Alen
Charleroi
U S T U S
1–2
Full-time
Eupen
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,7
This season — Pro League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 36%
41%
31%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
62%
62%
Both score Ø 64%
72%
55%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Charleroi 2. · Eupen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 29 12 11 6 +13 47
2 Charleroi 29 12 6 11 +1 42
3 Genk 19 12 5 2 +22 41
4 Antwerp 19 13 1 5 +12 40
5 Kortrijk 29 11 7 11 +0 40
6 Standard 19 11 6 2 +18 39
7 Gent 19 12 2 5 +17 38
8 Club Brugge 19 11 4 4 +21 37
9 Anderlecht 19 11 4 4 +14 37
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 29 10 7 12 -1 37
11 Waregem 29 8 8 13 -11 32
12 Eupen 29 9 2 18 -24 29
13 Cercle Brugge 29 7 7 15 -22 28
14 Beveren 29 5 12 12 -12 27
15 Oostende 29 6 9 14 -21 27
16 Lokeren 29 4 5 20 -27 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Eupen
6′
🟨 Mamadou Fall
7′
Alessio Castro-Montes 0–1
1–1 Victor Osimhen
45′
Half-time 1–2
52′
Youssef Msakni 1–2
Massimo Bruno 🟨
60′
Ken Nkuba 🔁
↦ Adama Niane
69′
David Henen 🟨
75′
Maxime Busi 🔁
↦ David Henen
76′
Christophe Diandy 🟨
79′
79′
🔁 Jean Thierry Lazare Amani
↦ Eric Ocansey
83′
🔁 Danijel Miličević
↦ Youssef Msakni
Jaan Van Wildemeersch 🔁
↦ Jérémy Perbet
87′
89′
🔁 Samuel Essende
↦ Yuta Toyokawa
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-1-3-2
1 Nicolas Penneteau G
17 Stergos Marinos D
33 Gabriele Angella D
24 Dorian Dessoleil D
23 Steeven Willems D
13 Christophe Diandy M
77 Massimo Bruno F
10 Jérémy Perbet F
7 David Henen F
45 Victor Osimhen F
9 Adama Niane F
Bench (5)
69 Rémy Riou
6 Gjoko Zajkov
4 Maxime Busi
20 Nathan Rodes
18 Ken Nkuba

Coach: F. Mazzù

Eupen

4-3-3
1 Hendrik Van Crombrugge G
5 Diawandou Diagne D
22 Siebe Blondelle D
25 Rocky Bushiri Kiranga D
44 Xavier Molina D
14 Alessio Castro-Montes M
70 Mamadou Fall F
28 Eric Ocansey F
20 Yuta Toyokawa F
10 Luis Garcia F
17 Youssef Msakni F
Bench (7)
33 Abdul Manaf Nurudeen
24 Silas Gnaka
7 Julian Schauerte
77 Danijel Miličević
8 Jean Thierry Lazare Amani
23 Samuel Essende
31 Ivan Yagan

Coach: C. Makélélé

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wesley Alen · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.