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Premier League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Everton
T T S U T
2–0
Full-time
Chelsea
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton Chelsea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Premier League · 30/29 matches
Win Ø 46%
33%
59%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
53%
59%
Both score Ø 49%
53%
45%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

32% Possession 68%
15 Shots 17
8 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Everton 12. · Chelsea 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 31 23 7 1 +52 76
2 Man City 30 24 2 4 +58 74
3 Tottenham 30 20 1 9 +25 61
4 Arsenal 30 18 6 6 +24 60
5 Man United 30 17 7 6 +18 58
6 Chelsea 29 17 6 6 +19 57
7 Wolves 30 12 8 10 +2 44
8 Watford 30 12 7 11 -2 43
9 West Ham 31 12 6 13 -5 42
10 Leicester 31 12 5 14 -3 41
11 Bournemouth 31 11 5 15 -13 38
12 Everton 30 10 7 13 -1 37
13 Newcastle 31 9 8 14 -9 35
14 Crystal Palace 30 9 6 15 -5 33
15 Brighton 29 9 6 14 -10 33
16 Southampton 30 7 9 14 -16 30
17 Burnley 31 8 6 17 -24 30
18 Cardiff 30 8 4 18 -30 28
19 Fulham 31 4 5 22 -41 17
20 Huddersfield 31 3 5 23 -39 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Everton Chelsea
36′
🟨 Marcos Alonso
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Richarlison
49′
André Gomes 🟨
59′
61′
🟨 Antonio Rüdiger
65′
🔁 R. Loftus-Cheek
↦ R. Barkley
66′
🔁 O. Giroud
↦ G. Higuaín
M. Schneiderlin 🔁
↦ André Gomes
68′
2–0 G. Sigurðsson
72′
74′
🔁 C. Hudson-Odoi
↦ Jorginho
T. Walcott 🔁
↦ Bernard
78′
T. Davies 🔁
↦ G. Sigurðsson
86′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Everton

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pickford G
23 S. Coleman D
12 L. Digne D
4 M. Keane D
13 Y. Mina D
10 G. Sigurðsson M
17 I. Gueye M
20 Bernard M
8 André Gomes M
29 D. Calvert-Lewin F
30 Richarlison M
Bench (7)
18 M. Schneiderlin
11 T. Walcott
26 T. Davies
3 L. Baines
31 A. Lookman
22 M. Stekelenburg
14 C. Tosun

Coach: Marco Silva

Chelsea

4-3-3
1 Kepa G
30 David Luiz D
28 Azpilicueta D
3 Marcos Alonso D
2 A. Rüdiger D
8 R. Barkley M
5 Jorginho M
7 N. Kanté M
9 G. Higuaín F
10 E. Hazard F
11 Pedro F
Bench (7)
12 R. Loftus-Cheek
18 O. Giroud
20 C. Hudson-Odoi
17 M. Kovačić
27 A. Christensen
22 Willian
13 W. Caballero

Coach: M. Sarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Anthony Taylor · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.