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Pro League

Referee: Wim Smet

Gent

U S T S S

1–2

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

This season — Pro League · 15/24 matches

Win Ø 48%

67%

29%

Points per game

2,1

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

80%

54%

Both score Ø 60%

73%

46%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

12 Shots 11

10 Shots on target 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 9

9 Corners 4

5 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 22

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Gent 6. · Royal Excel Mouscron 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	25	11	9	5	+12	42
2	Genk	17	11	4	2	+21	37
3	Antwerp	17	12	1	4	+12	37
4	Charleroi	25	10	5	10	+1	35
5	Kortrijk	25	9	7	9	-2	34
6	Gent	15	10	2	3	+16	32
7	Standard	16	9	5	2	+15	32
8	Club Brugge	17	9	4	4	+16	31
9	Anderlecht	17	9	4	4	+11	31
10	Eupen	25	9	1	15	-18	28
11	Waregem	25	7	6	12	-10	27
12	Cercle Brugge	25	7	6	12	-17	27
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	24	7	5	12	-6	26
14	Oostende	25	6	6	13	-20	24
15	Beveren	25	4	10	11	-9	22
16	Lokeren	25	4	5	16	-22	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	13	7	5	1	+11	26
2	Charleroi	13	7	2	4	+5	23
3	Cercle Brugge	13	6	2	5	-3	20
4	Gent	8	6	1	1	+11	19
5	Anderlecht	9	5	4	0	+11	19
6	Waregem	12	5	3	4	+4	18
7	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	5	3	4	+3	18
8	Eupen	13	6	0	7	-3	18
9	Standard	7	5	2	0	+10	17
10	Genk	9	5	2	2	+8	17
11	Club Brugge	8	5	1	2	+12	16
12	Antwerp	8	5	1	2	+5	16
13	Kortrijk	12	4	3	5	-3	15
14	Lokeren	13	4	3	6	-9	15
15	Oostende	12	4	2	6	-7	14
16	Beveren	12	2	6	4	-2	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	9	7	0	2	+7	21
2	Genk	8	6	2	0	+13	20
3	Kortrijk	13	5	4	4	+1	19
4	St Truiden	12	4	4	4	+1	16
5	Standard	9	4	3	2	+5	15
6	Club Brugge	9	4	3	2	+4	15
7	Gent	7	4	1	2	+5	13
8	Anderlecht	8	4	0	4	+0	12
9	Charleroi	12	3	3	6	-4	12
10	Beveren	13	2	4	7	-7	10
11	Oostende	13	2	4	7	-13	10
12	Eupen	12	3	1	8	-15	10
13	Waregem	13	2	3	8	-14	9
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	2	2	8	-9	8
15	Cercle Brugge	12	1	4	7	-14	7
16	Lokeren	12	0	2	10	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.