La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Valencia
Getafe
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | +43 | 63 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | +20 | 56 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid
|
28 | 17 | 3 | 8 | +17 | 54 |
| 4 |
Getafe
|
27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +12 | 45 |
| 5 |
Alaves
|
28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 44 |
| 6 |
Sevilla
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | +11 | 43 |
| 7 |
Valencia
|
27 | 8 | 15 | 4 | +7 | 39 |
| 8 |
Betis
|
27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 |
Ath Bilbao
|
28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 |
Sociedad
|
28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | +0 | 36 |
| 11 |
Eibar
|
28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 |
Girona
|
28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | -6 | 34 |
| 13 |
Espanol
|
28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -9 | 34 |
| 14 |
Leganes
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -7 | 33 |
| 15 |
Levante
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | -11 | 31 |
| 16 |
Valladolid
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -16 | 29 |
| 17 |
Villarreal
|
27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | -6 | 26 |
| 18 |
Celta
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -11 | 25 |
| 19 |
Vallecano
|
27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | -19 | 23 |
| 20 |
Huesca
|
28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -19 | 22 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
José Gayá
D
M. Diakhaby
D
F. Coquelin
M
Gonçalo Guedes
M
Ferrán Torres
M
Coach: Marcelino
David Soria
G
L. Cabrera
D
D. Foulquier
D
D. Dakonam
D
M. Olivera
D
Coach: José Bordalás
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Girona
Valencia
Valencia
Ath Bilbao
Leganes
Valencia
Valencia
Espanol
Valencia
Sociedad
Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 115 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.