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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
Beveren
T U U T T
2–1
Full-time
Gent
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Beveren Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 25/16 matches
Win Ø 40%
16%
63%
Points per game
0,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
56%
81%
Both score Ø 70%
64%
75%
Average goals
2,6
3,4
Scored
1,1
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 7
17 Free kicks against 19
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Beveren 15. · Gent 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 26 11 10 5 +12 43
2 Charleroi 26 11 5 10 +2 38
3 Genk 17 11 4 2 +21 37
4 Antwerp 17 12 1 4 +12 37
5 Standard 17 10 5 2 +17 35
6 Kortrijk 26 9 7 10 -3 34
7 Gent 16 10 2 4 +15 32
8 Club Brugge 17 9 4 4 +16 31
9 Anderlecht 17 9 4 4 +11 31
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 25 8 5 12 -5 29
11 Eupen 26 9 2 15 -18 29
12 Waregem 26 7 7 12 -10 28
13 Cercle Brugge 25 7 6 12 -17 27
14 Oostende 26 6 7 13 -20 25
15 Beveren 25 4 10 11 -9 22
16 Lokeren 26 4 5 17 -24 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Beveren Gent
Francesco Forte 🟨
32′
1–0 Maximiliano Caufriez
37′
Maximiliano Caufriez 🟨
38′
Floriano Vanzo 🟨
40′
43′
🔁 Jean-Luc Dompe
↦ Brecht Dejaegere
Half-time 1–0
49′
🟨 Anderson Esiti
52′
🔁 Roman Bezus
↦ Anderson Esiti
67′
🟨 Jean-Luc Dompe
76′
🔁 Giorgi Kvilitaia
↦ Roman Yaremchuk
Paul Keita 🔁
↦ Aleksandar Boljević
80′
83′
🟨 Roman Bezus
2–0 Francesco Forte
84′
Maximiliano Caufriez 🟨
85′
Maximiliano Caufriez 🟥
85′
Beni Badibanga 🔁
↦ Floriano Vanzo
85′
Louis Verstraete 🟨
90′
90′
Giorgi Kvilitaia 2–1
Jean-Luc Dompe
Stefan Milosevic 🔁
↦ Francesco Forte
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Beveren

3-5-2
33 Davy Roef G
23 Maximiliano Caufriez D
4 Valtteri Moren D
26 Aleksandar Vukotić D
52 Jur Schryvers D
8 Djihad Bizimana M
10 Floriano Vanzo F
13 Louis Verstraete M
3 Milan Massop D
7 Aleksandar Boljević F
9 Francesco Forte F
Bench (7)
89 Kevin Debaty
19 Alexis Gamboa
15 Paul Keita
5 Karlo Lulić
99 Stefan Milosevic
11 Beni Badibanga
55 Tuur Dierckx

Gent

4-4-1-1
1 Thomas Kaminski G
2 Arnaud Souquet D
28 Dylan Bronn D
76 Timothy Derijck D
21 Nana Asare D
44 Anderson Esiti M
8 Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe M
19 Brecht Dejaegere M
10 Alexander Sørloth F
17 Roman Yaremchuk F
16 Jonathan Christian David F
Bench (7)
20 Yannick Thoelen
5 Igor Plastun
29 Thibault De Smet
6 Birger Verstraete
18 Roman Bezus
13 Giorgi Kvilitaia
11 Jean-Luc Dompe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.