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Ligue 1

Referee: A Gautier

Paris SG

S S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Marseille

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 92%

100%

83%

Points per game

3,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

2,7

1,5

Conceded

0,3

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+1,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 27/28 matches

Win Ø 70%

89%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

78%

54%

Both score Ø 47%

44%

50%

Average goals

3,6

2,8

Scored

3,1

1,6

Conceded

0,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%

9 Shots 3

7 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 19

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Marseille 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	27	24	2	1	+68	74
2	Lille	29	17	6	6	+21	57
3	Lyon	29	15	8	6	+15	53
4	Marseille	28	14	5	9	+9	47
5	St Etienne	29	13	7	9	+7	46
6	Reims	29	11	13	5	+4	46
7	Montpellier	29	10	12	7	+6	42
8	Rennes	28	11	8	9	+3	41
9	Nice	29	11	8	10	-8	41
10	Strasbourg	29	9	12	8	+10	39
11	Nimes	28	10	7	11	-2	37
12	Angers	29	8	12	9	+0	36
13	Bordeaux	29	8	10	11	-3	34
14	Toulouse	29	7	11	11	-15	32
15	Nantes	28	8	7	13	-4	31
16	Monaco	29	7	9	13	-14	30
17	Amiens	29	8	5	16	-19	29
18	Guingamp	29	5	7	17	-32	22
19	Dijon	29	5	6	18	-25	21
20	Caen	29	3	11	15	-21	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	14	0	0	+45	42
2	Lyon	15	10	3	2	+16	33
3	Lille	15	9	4	2	+16	31
4	Marseille	14	9	3	2	+16	30
5	St Etienne	14	9	2	3	+12	29
6	Reims	15	7	6	2	+6	27
7	Rennes	14	7	4	3	+8	25
8	Bordeaux	15	6	6	3	+4	24
9	Nice	14	7	3	4	+0	24
10	Montpellier	14	5	6	3	+7	21
11	Strasbourg	14	5	6	3	+6	21
12	Angers	15	5	6	4	+3	21
13	Nimes	14	5	5	4	+5	20
14	Nantes	13	5	4	4	+7	19
15	Amiens	14	6	1	7	-3	19
16	Toulouse	14	3	7	4	-3	16
17	Monaco	15	3	5	7	-10	14
18	Guingamp	15	3	4	8	-9	13
19	Dijon	14	3	3	8	-13	12
20	Caen	15	2	5	8	-11	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	10	2	1	+23	32
2	Lille	14	8	2	4	+5	26
3	Montpellier	15	5	6	4	-1	21
4	Lyon	14	5	5	4	-1	20
5	Reims	14	4	7	3	-2	19
6	Strasbourg	15	4	6	5	+4	18
7	St Etienne	15	4	5	6	-5	17
8	Nimes	14	5	2	7	-7	17
9	Marseille	14	5	2	7	-7	17
10	Nice	15	4	5	6	-8	17
11	Monaco	14	4	4	6	-4	16
12	Rennes	14	4	4	6	-5	16
13	Toulouse	15	4	4	7	-12	16
14	Angers	14	3	6	5	-3	15
15	Nantes	15	3	3	9	-11	12
16	Bordeaux	14	2	4	8	-7	10
17	Amiens	15	2	4	9	-16	10
18	Caen	14	1	6	7	-10	9
19	Dijon	15	2	3	10	-12	9
20	Guingamp	14	2	3	9	-23	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.