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Pro League
Referee: Kevin van Damme
Waregem
T T S S U
1–1
Full-time
St Truiden
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 36%
28%
44%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
76%
56%
Both score Ø 72%
72%
72%
Average goals
3,6
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

7 Corners 5
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 12. · St Truiden 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 25 11 9 5 +12 42
2 Charleroi 26 11 5 10 +2 38
3 Genk 17 11 4 2 +21 37
4 Antwerp 17 12 1 4 +12 37
5 Standard 17 10 5 2 +17 35
6 Kortrijk 26 9 7 10 -3 34
7 Gent 16 10 2 4 +15 32
8 Club Brugge 17 9 4 4 +16 31
9 Anderlecht 17 9 4 4 +11 31
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 25 8 5 12 -5 29
11 Eupen 25 9 1 15 -18 28
12 Waregem 25 7 6 12 -10 27
13 Cercle Brugge 25 7 6 12 -17 27
14 Oostende 25 6 6 13 -20 24
15 Beveren 25 4 10 11 -9 22
16 Lokeren 26 4 5 17 -24 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem St Truiden
Ewoud Pletinckx 🟨
15′
Ibrahima Seck 🟨
16′
29′
🟨 Elton Acolatse
Marvin Baudry 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–0
71′
🔁 Steven De Petter
↦ Jorge Teixeira
1–0 Stef Peeters
75′
78′
🔁 Mamadou Sylla
↦ Alexis De Sart
82′
Yohan Boli 1–1
Henrik Bjørdal 🔁
↦ Nill De Pauw
89′
Mikael Soisalo 🔁
↦ Marco Burki
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Waregem

4-4-2
1 Sammy Bossut G
14 Sandy Walsh D
62 Ewoud Pletinckx D
3 Marvin Baudry D
23 Marco Burki D
11 Nill De Pauw F
15 Ibrahima Seck M
8 Stef Peeters M
10 Theo Bongonda M
9 Hamdi Harbaoui F
40 Idrissa Sylla F
Bench (8)
25 Louis Bostyn
20 Henrik Bjørdal
57 Mathieu De Smet
5 Damien Marcq
16 Urho Nissilä
7 Thomas Buffel
12 Chris Bedia
17 Mikael Soisalo

St Truiden

4-2-3-1
1 Kenny Steppe G
8 Ibrahima Sory Sankhon M
3 Takehiro Tomiyasu D
26 Jorge Teixeira D
4 Pol García D
5 Alexis De Sart M
12 Samuel Asamoah M
7 Jordan Botaka F
15 Daichi Kamada M
29 Elton Acolatse F
11 Yohan Boli F
Bench (8)
21 Lucas Pirard
20 Samy Mmaee
6 Steven De Petter
28 Takahiro Sekine
14 Alexandre De Bruyn
19 Mamadou Sylla
18 Kosuke Kinoshita
22 Wolke Janssens

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kevin van Damme · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.