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Pro League
Referee: Verboomen
Eupen
T U T T S
0–1
Full-time
Genk
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 21/20 matches
Win Ø 32%
24%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
81%
55%
Both score Ø 61%
71%
50%
Average goals
3,9
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
2,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2 Corners 8
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 13. · Genk 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 16 11 3 2 +15 36
2 Mechelen 21 10 5 6 +5 35
3 Standard 21 9 7 5 +15 34
4 Club Brugge 14 10 2 2 +23 32
5 Anderlecht 13 9 2 2 +22 29
6 Oostende 14 9 2 3 +16 29
7 Genk 20 8 4 8 -5 28
8 Gent 14 8 2 4 +8 26
9 Charleroi 15 7 5 3 +4 26
10 Lokeren 22 6 6 10 -6 24
11 Kortrijk 22 6 6 10 -12 24
12 St Truiden 21 5 5 11 -8 20
13 Eupen 21 5 5 11 -18 20
14 Beveren 21 4 7 10 -13 19
15 Westerlo 21 3 6 12 -22 15
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 22 4 3 15 -24 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Nov -16 Genk – Eupen 2–0

Match report

Eupen Genk
3′
🟨 Sebastien Dewaest
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 S. Berge
↦ B. Heynen
Ibrahima Diallo 🟨
55′
60′
🔁 S. Schrijvers
↦ L. Trossard
A. Bassey 🔁
↦ E. Ocansey
65′
72′
🟨 Ruslan Malinovskiy
Siebe Blondelle 🟨
78′
82′
M. Samatta 0–1
R. Malinovskiy
Cases 🔁
↦ M. Wagué
84′
Jose Maria Cases 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Eupen

1 H. Van Crombrugge
22 S. Blondelle D
5 D. Diagné D
3 Fahad Al-Abdulrahman D
2 I. Diallo D
15 M. Wagué -
8 J. Amani
10 Luis García F
20 M. Sylla F
21 H. Onyekuru -
28 E. Ocansey
Bench (7)
11 A. Bassey
91 Cases
18 G. Dufour
25 G. Jamabo
30 B. Niasse
42 P. Hackenberg
77 J. Biersard

Coach: Jordi Condom

Genk

1 M. Bizot G
6 S. Dewaest D
21 J. Uronen D
4 O. Colley D
41 T. Castagne D
24 Pozuelo M
18 R. Malinovskiy
28 B. Heynen -
14 L. Trossard F
77 M. Samatta
31 L. Bailey F
Bench (7)
25 S. Berge
22 S. Schrijvers
2 J. Brabec
5 S. Walsh
8 B. Kumordzi
10 T. Sušić
30 N. Jackers

Coach: A. Stuivenberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.