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Pro League

Referee: Bram Van Driessche

Genk

S S S U S

3–1

Full-time

Charleroi

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,7

This season — Pro League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

2,3

1,7

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

64% Possession 36%

17 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 20

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 4. · Charleroi 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Club Brugge	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Cercle Brugge	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Genk	3	2	1	0	+6	7
5	Antwerp	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Oostende	4	2	0	2	-3	6
7	Standard	3	1	2	0	+3	5
8	Waregem	4	1	2	1	+2	5
9	Gent	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	St Truiden	4	0	4	0	+0	4
11	Charleroi	3	1	0	2	+1	3
12	Beveren	4	0	3	1	-3	3
13	Kortrijk	4	0	1	3	-7	1
14	Lokeren	4	0	1	3	-8	1
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	0	0	4	-5	0
16	Eupen	3	0	0	3	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Cercle Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Waregem	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Gent	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Oostende	2	1	0	1	-1	3
7	Beveren	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	St Truiden	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Genk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Standard	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Antwerp	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Charleroi	2	0	0	2	-2	0
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	2	0	0	2	-2	0
14	Eupen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-4	0
16	Lokeren	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Antwerp	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Standard	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Oostende	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	St Truiden	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Cercle Brugge	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Lokeren	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Waregem	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Beveren	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Kortrijk	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	Eupen	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.