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Pro League

Referee: Alexandre Boucaut

Genk

U S T S U

2–0

Full-time

Eupen

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Eupen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

2,7

4,7

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,2

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — Pro League · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 36%

43%

29%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

57%

86%

Both score Ø 68%

57%

79%

Average goals

2,6

4,0

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,4

2,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

59% Possession 41%

9 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 4. · Eupen 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	10	9	0	1	+16	27
2	Kortrijk	14	6	5	3	+4	23
3	Standard	14	6	4	4	+9	22
4	Genk	14	6	3	5	-1	21
5	Club Brugge	10	6	2	2	+10	20
6	Anderlecht	10	6	2	2	+9	20
7	Gent	9	6	1	2	+7	19
8	Mechelen	14	5	4	5	+2	19
9	Oostende	9	5	2	2	+4	17
10	Charleroi	9	4	4	1	+3	16
11	Eupen	14	4	3	7	-10	15
12	Beveren	14	3	4	7	-11	13
13	Lokeren	14	3	3	8	-8	12
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	3	2	9	-9	11
15	St Truiden	15	2	4	9	-9	10
16	Westerlo	14	2	3	9	-16	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	6	6	0	0	+10	18
2	Standard	7	5	1	1	+12	16
3	Genk	7	5	1	1	+3	16
4	Kortrijk	7	4	3	0	+8	15
5	Waregem	4	4	0	0	+7	12
6	Beveren	7	3	3	1	+2	12
7	Club Brugge	5	3	2	0	+6	11
8	Oostende	5	3	2	0	+4	11
9	Eupen	7	3	2	2	-1	11
10	Charleroi	4	3	1	0	+3	10
11	Mechelen	7	3	1	3	+2	10
12	Lokeren	7	3	1	3	+0	10
13	Anderlecht	4	3	0	1	+6	9
14	St Truiden	8	2	3	3	+0	9
15	Westerlo	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	7	1	1	5	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	6	5	0	1	+9	15
2	Anderlecht	6	3	2	1	+3	11
3	Club Brugge	5	3	0	2	+4	9
4	Mechelen	7	2	3	2	+0	9
5	Kortrijk	7	2	2	3	-4	8
6	Royal Excel Mouscron	7	2	1	4	+0	7
7	Oostende	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Charleroi	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Standard	7	1	3	3	-3	6
10	Genk	7	1	2	4	-4	5
11	Eupen	7	1	1	5	-9	4
12	Westerlo	7	1	1	5	-12	4
13	Lokeren	7	0	2	5	-8	2
14	Gent	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	St Truiden	7	0	1	6	-9	1
16	Beveren	7	0	1	6	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.