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Ligue 1

Referee: K Abed

Guingamp

U T T T T

1–2

Full-time

Toulouse

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,7

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

2,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

2,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

59% Possession 41%

23 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Guingamp 20. · Toulouse 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Dijon	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Lille	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Lyon	4	2	0	2	+2	6
5	Nimes	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Reims	3	2	0	1	-1	6
7	Toulouse	3	2	0	1	-2	6
8	St Etienne	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Marseille	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Monaco	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Montpellier	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Rennes	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Nice	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Amiens	3	1	0	2	+0	3
16	Bordeaux	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Caen	3	0	2	1	-3	2
18	Nantes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Angers	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Guingamp	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Lyon	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Toulouse	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Amiens	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Reims	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Bordeaux	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Caen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Guingamp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Nice	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dijon	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Nice	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Monaco	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Reims	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	St Etienne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Caen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Angers	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Guingamp	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.