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Pro League
Referee: Kevin van Damme
Eupen
T S T S T
1–4
Full-time
Charleroi
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
This season — Pro League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
7,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
5,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

3 Corners 3
1 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 13. · Charleroi 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Club Brugge 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Anderlecht 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Oostende 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Antwerp 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Beveren 2 0 2 0 +0 2
7 Waregem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 St Truiden 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Cercle Brugge 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Standard 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Charleroi 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Eupen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
14 Kortrijk 1 0 0 1 -3 0
15 Lokeren 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Jan -18 Eupen – Charleroi 1–0 14. Oct -17 Charleroi – Eupen 2–2 10. Dec -16 Eupen – Charleroi 2–2 26. Aug -16 Charleroi – Eupen 3–2

Match report

Eupen Charleroi
0–1 Martos ⚽
own goal
10′
24′
⚽ Xavier Molina 1–1
own goal
34′
⚽ Kaveh Rezaei 1–2
Half-time 1–2
Eric Ocansey 🟥
52′
Megan Laurent 🔁
↦ Jean Thierry Lazare Armani
71′
71′
🔁 Jérémy Perbet
↦ Cristian Benavente
80′
⚽ Jérémy Perbet 1–3
Florian Raspentino 🔁
↦ Siebe Blondelle
81′
81′
🔁 Romain Grange
↦ Ali Gholizadeh
82′
⚽ Kaveh Rezaei 1–4
89′
🔁 Chris Bedia
↦ Kaveh Rezaei
Megan Laurent 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Eupen

1 Hendrik Van Crombrugge G
22 Siebe Blondelle D
3 Cheick Keita D
44 Xavier Molina D
7 Julian Schauerte D
77 Danijel Miličević M
8 Jean Thierry Lazare Armani M
20 Yuta Toyokawa F
9 David Pollet F
28 Eric Ocansey F
10 Luis Garcia F
Bench (7)
30 Babacar Niasse Mbaye
24 Silas Gnaka
5 Diawandou Diagne
4 Jordan Lotiès
11 Megan Laurent
19 Florian Raspentino
31 Ivan Yagan

Coach: C. Makélélé

Charleroi

35 Parfait Mandanda G
8 Martos D
24 Dorian Dessoleil D
23 Steeven Willems D
17 Stergos Marinos D
18 Amara Baby M
14 Cristian Benavente M
22 Gaetan Hendrickx M
26 Marco Ilaimaharitra M
88 Ali Gholizadeh F
9 Kaveh Rezaei F
Bench (8)
15 Valentin Baume
4 Maxime Busi
25 Núrio
13 Christophe Diandy
10 Jérémy Perbet
77 Mamadou Fall
29 Romain Grange
99 Chris Bedia

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Kevin van Damme · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.