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Pro League
Referee: Christof Dierick
Charleroi
T T U T S
1–2
Full-time
Anderlecht
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
6,0
Scored
2,0
4,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3 Corners 3
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 7. · Anderlecht 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Genk 3 2 1 0 +6 7
3 Antwerp 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Anderlecht 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 Waregem 3 1 2 0 +4 5
6 Cercle Brugge 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Charleroi 2 1 0 1 +2 3
8 St Truiden 3 0 3 0 +0 3
9 Oostende 3 1 0 2 -4 3
10 Beveren 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Standard 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Lokeren 3 0 1 2 -5 1
13 Kortrijk 3 0 1 2 -6 1
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 3 0 0 3 -3 0
15 Eupen 3 0 0 3 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Anderlecht
5′
🟨 Sebastiaan Bornauw
Stergos Marinos 🟨
12′
33′
🟨 Alexis Saelemaekers
1–0 Kaveh Rezaei
41′
45′
Landry Dimata 1–1
Half-time 1–1
Amara Baby 🟨
60′
64′
Ivan Santini 1–2
Jérémy Perbet 🔁
↦ Gaetan Hendrickx
72′
73′
🟨 Ognjen Vranješ
73′
🔁 Knowledge Musona
↦ Pieter Gerkens
86′
🔁 Francis Amuzu
↦ Elias Cobbaut
Mamadou Fall 🔁
↦ Amara Baby
87′
90′
🟨 Ivan Santini
90′
🟨 Landry Dimata
Romain Grange 🔁
↦ Ali Gholizadeh
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Charleroi

35 Parfait Mandanda G
23 Steeven Willems D
24 Dorian Dessoleil D
8 Martos D
17 Stergos Marinos D
14 Cristian Benavente M
18 Amara Baby M
26 Marco Ilaimaharitra M
22 Gaetan Hendrickx M
9 Kaveh Rezaei F
88 Ali Gholizadeh F
Bench (9)
15 Valentin Baume
4 Maxime Busi
5 Dorian Dervite
25 Núrio
13 Christophe Diandy
99 Chris Bedia
29 Romain Grange
10 Jérémy Perbet
77 Mamadou Fall

Coach: F. Mazzù

Anderlecht

16 Thomas Didillon G
12 Dennis Appiah D
45 Sebastiaan Bornauw D
55 Ognjen Vranješ D
22 Elias Cobbaut D
8 Pieter Gerkens M
5 Evgeny Makarenko M
56 Alexis Saelemaekers M
25 Adrien Trebel M
9 Landry Dimata F
19 Ivan Santini F
Bench (9)
1 Frank Boeckx
42 Hannes Delcroix
77 Kristal Abazaj
39 Edo Kayembe
10 Ryota Morioka
40 Francis Amuzu
38 Dauda Mohammed
11 Knowledge Musona
48 Albert Sambi Lokonga

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Christof Dierick · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.